We’re head­ing for a straight duel.. No-deal or No Brexit

The New European - - Agenda -

gov­ern­ment, to min­imise deaths and chaos in the event this aw­ful out­come ac­tu­ally hap­pens.

And hap­pen it could. There is a real im­bal­ance in what must hap­pen (or not hap­pen) for a no-deal and what must hap­pen for a Peo­ple’s Vote. To get a sec­ond ref­er­en­dum, we need par­lia­ment to vote for it – and agree a ques­tion – the Elec­toral Com­mis­sion to ap­prove the ques­tion, and the EU to ex­tend Ar­ti­cle 50 to give us the time to do that. And then to stop Brexit, we need to win the vote.

To make no-deal hap­pen, all its sup­port­ers have to do is stonewall ev­ery­thing else. If they can block an early elec­tion, block a deal, and block a sec­ond ref­er­en­dum – or run out the clock on them – they get what they want by de­fault, and the rest of us will get the worst eco­nomic chaos in liv­ing mem­ory. To an ex­tent, they have the up­per hand.

The clock is tick­ing faster than we know, be­cause ev­ery course of ac­tion ex­cept in­er­tia takes time. Once we hit the mid­dle of Feb­ru­ary, an early elec­tion

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