The Press and Journal (Aberdeen and Aberdeenshire)
Retail sales figures ‘terrible’
Statistics: Shoppers spend less on non-food items in run-up to Christmas
UK retail sales fell at the fastest rate in nearly five years last month, as shoppers spent less on clothing, footwear and household goods in the run-up to Christmas.
The Office for National Statistics said the monthon-month retail sales fell 1.9% in December, compared to a 0.1% fall in November.
Economists had been forecasting a drop of just 0.1%.
That is the biggest monthly decline since April 2012, when sales also dropped by 1.9%.
On an annual basis, the overall rate of retail sales growth was 4.3%, but that still marked a slowdown from 5.7% in November.
The pound tumbled on the news, falling 0.4% against the US dollar to 1.228, and 0.2% against the euro to 1.154.
Alan Clarke at Scotiabank described the figures as “terrible”.
He said: “UK retail sales volumes were terrible in December . . . much worse than expected. We know from the CPI data earlier in the week that prices rose more than expected in December and now we also know that sales volumes fell.
“This is likely to be the theme for the rest of the year – higher prices will reduce disposable income and hurt consumer spending growth.”
It came as average store prices rose for the first time since June 2014, increasing 0.9% year-on-year, and 0.1% when excluding fuel.
Earlier this week, the ONS said the annual rate of inflation jumped to a twoand-a-half-year high of 1.6% in December, squeezing families with higher price tags for food, petrol and air fares.
But the agency noted that the three-month trend was still showing underlying sales growth of 1.2%, compared to the preceding quarter.
ONS senior statistician Kate Davies said: “Retailers saw a strong end to 2016 with sales in the final quarter up 5.6% on the same period last year, although the amount bought fell between November and December once the effects of Christmas are removed.
“There were some notably strong figures from smaller retailers, in particular butchers, who reported a significant boost in sales in the run-up to Christmas.”
Online retail sales also grew by a whopping 21.3% compared with the same month in 2015, but dropped 5.3% on a monthly basis.
It meant that online shopping accounted for about 15% of all sales in December, with average weekly spending reaching £1 billion.
Ian Gilmartin, head of retail and wholesale at Barclays, said it was important not to focus “too heavily” on the monthly dip in retail sales.
He said: “It doesn’t really matter to a retailer whether they generate revenue in November or December.
“This data shows that the net result for the final quarter was much more impressive this year.” UK markets tread cautiously as investors paused for Trump’s inauguration.
Sterling was flat against the US dollar at around 1.233, and 0.2% lower versus the euro at 1.155.
The FTSE 100 dropped 10 points to close at 7,198.44 points.
Brent crude rose 2.9% to $55.75 per barrel on hopes that a weekend meeting between Opec members and other major producers would signal that supply cuts were going ahead as planned.