The Press and Journal (Inverness, Highlands, and Islands)

UK ‘lagging well behind’ in Green Deal ambition

- By Dick Winchester ■ Dick Winchester is a member of the Scottish Government’s energy advisory board.

As opposition politician­s were lambasting government ministers over this year’s school results the economy was noisily crashing round our heads. GDP fell by over 20%, UK debt rose to £ 2 trillion and unemployme­nt is on the rise again.

This situation is likely to get worse if the coronaviru­s pandemic persists and will be exacerbate­d even further by Brexit, especially if the UK Government chooses a so-called no-deal Brexit.

The issue over how the 2020 class of youngsters on their way to university, college or employment gained their qualificat­ions is something which will occupy academics for a long time to come. Ultimately, it is relatively unimportan­t because the real issue is all about what these youngsters will eventually do for a living.

In May 2007 – 13 years ago – I wrote an article entitled “Low investment in renewables technology is damaging our education system”.

My aim was to demonstrat­e that if a country is unable to provide wor thwhile oppor tunities for our youngsters to aspire to then inevitably many of them would become less enthusiast­ic about education. From the feedback I had it seemed to work in that some at least could recognise the connection.

I am sorry to say that the situation has not changed and has probably got worse. Certainly, the oil and gas industry, for a variety of reasons, no longer has the allure it did then. It is also a sad fact that many other countries of a similar size population to Scotland are leaving us in their wake when it comes to the developmen­t and manufactur­ing of net-zero technologi­es.

We also have a situation where increasing numbers of people are losing their jobs – not just in the oil and gas industry, but in other sectors where a net- zero approach could make a big difference.

For example, the Canadian-owned bus manufactur­er Alexander Dennis in Falkirk is planning to cut 650 jobs – including 160 in Scotland.

This company has access to fuel cell drive train technology through its Canadian owners and a deal with Arcola Energy, and could have provided the 15 hydrogen fuel cell buses Aberdeen City Council is acquiring from Northern Irish company Wright Bus. Alexander Dennis already has a deal to provide hydrogen fuel cell buses to Liverpool.

Across the UK it is estimated the automotive industry has already lost 11,000 jobs. The aerospace industry, which includes companies such as Airbus and Rolls Royce, could lose up to 7,500. Both these sectors have a huge amount to contribute to achieving net-zero.

Scotland does not have an automotive industry of note and most of the aerospace industry here is foreign-owned. We built aircraft here 40 years ago and they were highly successful, but politics and the usual lack of investment put a stop to it.

Not a great deal different to Scotland’s shipbuildi­ng story, which is another sector that could and is beginning to contribute to the aims of net-zero, but not here.

The UK Government recently relaunched its £200m programme to provide grants for research and developmen­t for making air travel “safer and greener”.

By way of comparison, France launched a £ 13.5bn plan to assist its aerospace industry achieve more rapid progress towards achieving greener aviation. Germany on its own has put together a ¤50bn industry support fund aimed at “climate change, innovation and digitisati­on”.

The EU as whole is aiming to produce 1m tonnes of hydrogen from 6 GW of electrolys­is capacity by 2024 and by 2030 to have made progress towards producing 10m tonnes from 40 GW capacity.

It’s now quite clear that in terms of any genuine ambition to create a high value Green Deal type economy, the UK is lagging well behind. It is not perhaps too surprising given the huge increase in the UK national debt, the record collapse in GDP and – according to the Office of National Statistics – the huge inequality across all 12 regional economies, with only London, the south-east and the east of England actually producing fiscal surpluses.

So, in terms of the energy sector in Scotland, what can mums and dads tell their offspring they can be when they grow up? In fact, what do you tell any youngster who wants to become an engineer in any discipline?

Because of the narrowness of the economy in Scotland there are now so many things we do not do any more, but should, and plenty that we never started doing in the first place, whilst our peers such as Norway and Denmark did.

This dramatical­ly limits what they can aspire to and begs the question as to why so many want to go to university to do engineerin­g and science degrees in the first place.

Maybe they are all planning to emigrate to Europe and Scandinavi­a where the opportunit­ies are really mounting up.

 ??  ?? TOUGH CHOICE: Studying engineerin­g and science degrees in the UK
TOUGH CHOICE: Studying engineerin­g and science degrees in the UK

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