LAU­RENS IS A SILLY PRICE SO GET ON HER AT 11/4

The Racing Paper - - Tv Races And News - BEN MOR­GAN

As­cot 1.50 - Muth­mir is a solid horse at this level, al­though it is sur­pris­ing that de­spite en­joy­ing an il­lus­tri­ous ca­reer, he is yet to win at As­cot. That is a slight neg­a­tive but in con­junc­tion with his ‘hold up’ run­ning style it’s enough to put me off him to­day.

I am back­ing the like­able JU­DI­CIAL in­stead who likes to race closer to the pace and, de­spite his ad­vanc­ing years, is still im­prov­ing. He racked up a cou­ple of good wins early in the sea­son be­fore go­ing wrong in the Nun­thorpe. Soft ground hin­dered him last time but back on a firm sur­face I am ex­pect­ing him to be bang there come the line. New­mar­ket 2.05 - As a sprinter, PER­FEC­TION, is un­ex­posed. John Gos­den seems to pro­duce a high class Cheve­ley Park filly ev­ery year and al­though this one has been moulded into a miler, her win last time out over 6f sug­gests that is her op­ti­mum trip. A solid fourth in the San­dring­ham reads well and a 3rd place to San­dring­ham se­cond, Or­tiz, is also a fair ef­fort. Last time out she made all and still pulled away late on so if she is al­lowed an easy time on the lead to­day her stamina means she could be hard to catch.

As­cot 2.25 - John Gos­den could well be in for a good week­end as he has a host of nice chances to­day and he sad­dles the Arc favourite to­mor­row. It’s his FIRST ELEVEN (NB) who rates as one of my bets of the week­end af­ter he hacked up over course and dis­tance last time. The way he trav­elled into the race was tak­ing and when sent to the front, he put the race to bed al­most in­stantly. He looks a group per­former in the mak­ing.

Redcar 2.45 - With 23 run­ners fanned across a pretty nar­row straight, there is so much that can go wrong. If horses ran in lanes I would be quite sweet on BEAT LE BON as I think he is bet­ter than the bare form of his first two runs. Richard Han­non thinks highly of him but I’m not sure he knows what his best trip is. He faded late last time over a mile so a drop to a strongly run six against in­fe­rior op­po­si­tion could prove to be a shrewd move. If he gets a clear run, 12/1 is gen­er­ous.

As­cot 3.00 - I’m not sure if we have got the real Li­mato lin­ing up to­day. He has won two races on the bounce but he was work­man­like last time, only just out­stay­ing them. I think he may be more a miler these days, so I do fear for him in against some good sprinters. Se­cond favourite, PRO­JEC­TION, jumps out at me as he has run all of his best races at As­cot. There should be a good pace to aim at with Gifted Mas­ter in the line up and I think that will set it up per­fectly for him.

New­mar­ket 3.15 - If LAU­RENS (NAP) was trained by Gos­den, O’Brien or Stoute I am sure she would be odds on shot here. And rightly so, based on her win last time out when she took down Al­pha Cen­tauri.

That was an im­pres­sive per­for­mance but per­haps it’s the Burke/Tud­hope com­bi­na­tion which pun­ters aren’t get­ting ex­cited about? I don’t know, nor do I care be­cause the less peo­ple get ex­cited about her, the more 11/4 and big­ger I can get about her. She is a silly price and I ad­vise pun­ters to get on. As­cot 3.35 - I did say a cou­ple weeks ago that RIPP ORF run­ning at As­cot, over 7f, with more than four places on of­fer, is a free each way bet.

He won com­fort­ably that day and I can see no rea­son why he won’t be bang there again to­day. He’s en­coun­ter­ing the same trip, track and ground and al­though his run­ning style comes with risks at­tached, Ja­son Wat­son has struck up a re­la­tion­ship with the horse and will have him ideally placed to strike late.

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