The Racing Paper - - Tv Races And News - BEN MOR­GAN

New­bury 1.50 - De­pend­ing on how much rain we have, by the time this race kicks off, the con­di­tions at New­bury could be quite soft. Due to the long home straight horses of­ten find them­selves rac­ing a long way from home and it will take a good stayer to last home on this ground.

The re­gally named, CHAMP, stands out as he looks a proper Na­tional Hunt type who can han­dle a bit of cut. His se­cond place ef­fort to Vin­ndi­ca­tion is the strong­est form on of­fer and if he is go­ing to live up to his name he should be win­ning this hand­i­cap.

New­cas­tle 2.05 - Bu­veur D’air is the class horse of the race and if this was the Cham­pion Hur­dle I would be back­ing him to do the busi­ness again, but at 11/10 he of­fers no value what­so­ever. Sam­cro has big ques­tions to an­swer after be­ing beaten by Bedrock last time out and I can’t help but think the bub­ble has burst. Sum­merville Boy, in my opin­ion, won a weak Supreme and is a silly price com­pared to VI­SION DES FLOS.

Colin Tiz­zard’s charge im­proved all through last year, cul­mi­nat­ing in some very good per­for­mances at the ma­jor Spring fes­ti­vals. He trav­elled sweetly on his re­turn be­fore be­ing out­stayed by Wholestone and I strongly be­lieve he is the best bet at 33/1 given he could still be on the im­prove.

New­bury 2.25 - This is an­other com­pet­i­tive re­newal of the Gerry Fielden where many have a chance. Con­di­tions aren’t sure to suit French Cru­sader who looks an im­prov­ing type but he is weighted to go close if han­dling the sur­face. The soft ground should how­ever favour BAL­LY­MOY (NAP) who has looked a strong stayer over the min­i­mum trip so far. Nigel Twis­ton-Davies looked after him last year which paid div­i­dends as he won a good hand­i­cap at Sandown on the fi­nal day of the sea­son. He re­turned with a good vic­tory at Chep­stow which would have bought him for­ward and although his fu­ture lies over fur­ther, and pos­si­bly over fences, this looks the next log­i­cal step up the lad­der.

New­bury 3.00 - Thomas Pa­trick and

El­e­gant Es­cape do bat­tle again after a mem­o­rable duel up the Sandown straight just 20 days ago. They should be there or there­abouts, how­ever I don’t think they are as pro­gres­sive as some of the se­cond sea­son novices we are used to see­ing in this race.

De­spite their pres­ence I be­lieve MS PAR­FOIS (NB) is the classi­est horse in the race and given she re­ceives weight off both, I can’t not back her. She fin­ished clear of El­e­gant Es­cape at Ain­tree when se­cond to Ter­refort which was some per­for­mance given how well she ran at Chel­tenham in the 4 miler. She jumps and gal­lops for fun on a softer sur­face and I can’t see her out of the frame to­day.

New­cas­tle 3.20 - The Dutch­man cur­rently has more let­ters than num­bers next to his name so it will be dif­fi­cult to take a short price about him. I’m hop­ing there could be one or two im­provers lurk­ing to­wards the bot­tom of the race­card such as BIG RIVER who im­proved with ev­ery run last year and I an­tic­i­pate fur­ther im­prove­ment. Lucinda Rus­sell thinks quite a bit of him and ran him in some good races last term but his jump­ing some­times lacked flu­ency. His fenc­ing got bet­ter as the sea­son wore on, how­ever, and I’m hope­ful he can make an im­pact in stay­ing chases this term.

New­bury 3.35 - LADY BUT­TONS has un­fin­ished busi­ness over fences and can go some way to re­al­is­ing her po­ten­tial over the larger ob­sta­cles here. She looks to have been found an ideal op­por­tu­nity to gain an­other vic­tory over fences as most of her ri­vals look ex­posed.

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