The Scotsman

Constructi­on still in doldrums despite rise in output last month

- By PERRY GOURLEY

UK constructi­on activity last month beat economists’ expectatio­ns but the industry still remains under pressure as weak confidence and political uncertaint­y take their toll on demand.

The Markit/cips UK constructi­on purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 51.4 last month, up from January’s four-month low of 50.2, with economists expecting a figure of 50.5.

A reading above 50 indicates growth.

Despite the rise, activity continued to be below 2017’s average of 52.3 as the amount of new work brought in by firms dropped for the second month in a row and confidence among constructi­on companies was at one of the lowest levels seen in the past five years.

The update came after the manufactur­ing industry drifted to an eight-month low in February, with a jump in new orders failing to counter a slowdown in production.

IHS Markit associate director Tim Moore said that “despite pockets of resilience” there was little to suggest that growth would pick up speed.

“The constructi­on sector endured another difficult month during February, with fragile business confidence, entrenched political uncertaint­yandsofter­housingmar­ket conditions all factors keeping growth in the slow lane,” he said.

“Residentia­l work appears on track to experience its weakest quarter since Q3 2016, suggesting that housebuild­ing is losing its status as the main engine of constructi­on growth.

“Civil engineerin­g activity was the worst-performing category in February, with survey respondent­s again commenting on a shallow pool of work to replace projects reaching completion.”

Housebuild­ing struggled, putting it on track for its weakest three-month performanc­e since the third quarter of 2016. Cost pressures also hampered firms due to higher fuel costs and wages.

However, commercial constructi­on reported its fastest rate of expansion for ten months.

Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroecono­mics, said: “The nearterm outlook for the constructi­on sector remains bleak. Hopes that a Brexit transition deal could be agreed by the end of this month now look forlorn, so businesses will remain reluctant to commit to long-term capital expenditur­e.”

Thelatestp­misurveyfo­llows official figures last week showing slower economic growth than previously thought in the final three months of 2017.

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