The Scotsman

Surge in support for Brexit party

● Theresa May urged to abandon talks with Labour as polls warn of major defeat for Conservati­ves in European elections

- By GINA DAVIDSON

Two separate polls have given Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party the biggest share of the vote in the upcoming European elections, as the government prepared for a last ditch bid to strike a Brexit deal with Labour.

Ministers warned that the European Parliament elections were now being seen as the“ultimate protest vote” with Theresa May being told of a Cabinet walkout if she strikes a compromise with Labour which would keep the UK in a customs union.

A l a s t- d i t c h b i d t o s t r i k e a Brexit deal between the government and Labour will take place today, as pressure grows on Theresa May to scrap the talks and her ministers warn the European Parliament elections will be the “ultimate protest vote”.

T h e U K g o v e r n m e n t i s expected to finally formally table its offer on a customs u n i o n a n d p r o t e c t i o n s f o r wo r ke r s’ a n d e nv i r o n me n - tal rights today in return for L a b o u r ’s s u p p o r t t o g e t i t s Withdrawal Bill through Parliament.

But Labour’s shadow Chancellor John Mcdonnell has revealed the talks are close to collapse while former Defence Secretary, Gavin Williamson described the negotiatio­ns as a “grave mistake”.

The talks resume as May’s education secretar y Damian Hinds said the upcoming Euro elections would be difficult for the Conser vatives, with polls putting the new Brexit Party on 34 p er cent – more than Labour and the Tories combined, currently at 21 and 11 per cent respective­ly. Ahead of the May 23 vote, two separate polls – by Comres and Opinium – give Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party the biggest share of the vote with the Conservati­ves in four th place behind Labour and the Lib Dems.

Mr Hinds said: “I don’t think anyone is in any doubt these are going to be difficult elections for us – that much has been clear from the very start. For some people this is the ultimate protest vote opportunit­y. Actually, ironically this is, in a sense, for some people, this is the second referendum.”

The Prime Minister has also b e e n w a r n e d o f a C a b i n e t walkout if she strikes a compromise with Labour which would keep the UK in a cust o m s u n i o n w i t h E u r o p e . Internatio­nal Trade Secretary Liam Fox has reportedly said a customs union deal which jeopardise­s new trade deals would be a “red line” for him – and it is believed that Jeremy Hunt, Andrea Leadsom and Chris Grayling share his view.

But Mr Hinds said there was no alternativ­e to the talks. He said: “I disagree with Labour on many things... but there is some commonalit­y of interest here. This is about our democracy, about our system and to r e p ay t h e t r u s t t h a t p e o p l e put in us we need to get things done for our constituen­ts.”

However John Mcdonnell said the talks were on the brink o f c o l l a p s e , a n d s a i d t h e r e was a growing sense of frustratio­n with their progress. Mr Mcdonnell, who has been attending the talks with Keir Starmer and Rebecca LongB a i l e y, s a i d : “T h e p r o b l e m they have is that literally in front of us they will fall out. S o the exercise here is holding themselves together. And t h a t i s p r ov i n g i mp o s s i b l e . The administra­tion is falling apart.”

Adding to the pressure on May, Sir Graham Brady of the powerful 1922 Committee of Tor y backbenche­rs, is due to meet with her on Wednesday for “clarity” on her resignatio­n timetable. Sir Graham, said he also expected the talks with Labour to peter out.

H e s a i d : “I f t h e c u s t o m s union is agreed without a seco n d r e f e r e n d u m t h e n h a l f the Labour Par t y won’t vote for whatever comes through regardless. And if a customs union is agreed then most of the Conser vative Par t y isn’t going to support it. I suspect it will peter out in the next few days without any significan­t conclusion.”

Writing in a Sunday newspaper, Gavin Williamson, branded Mrs May “politicall­y naive” for going into “fruitless” negot i a t i o n s wh i c h h e c l a i m e d were b ound to fail. “Even if Labour do a deal, break bread with the Prime Minister and announce that b oth par ties have reached an agreement, it can only ever end in tears. The Labour Party does not exist to help the Conservati­ve Party.

“Jeremy Corbyn will do all he can to divide, disrupt and frustrate the Conser vatives in the hope of bringing down the government. His goal, and he has made no secret of it, is to bring about a general election.”

M r Wi l l i a m s o n s a i d t h e Prime Minister seemed oblivious to the fact many Tories b e l i e ve s h e i s “n e g o t i a t i n g with the enemy”.

“There is a clue in their title: Her Majesty’s Official Opposition,” he said. “Their priority is to derail the government. Even if we get to a point where Jeremy Corbyn agrees a deal with the Prime Minister, when it comes to detailed scrutiny of the votes, Labour will revert to form. Even if it passes the first few votes, it will fail later.”

Mr Williamson said there was a simple calculatio­n that a deal could pass with the com

“The Prime Minister needs to recognise that futile efforts to pull off this Labour deal are damaging us all. It is a grave mistake”

GAVIN WILLIAMSON

b i n e d vo t e s o f L a b o u r a n d Conservati­ve MPS, but “tough realities” must be faced if the deal was “far removed” from expectatio­ns.

S u c h a r e s u lt c o ul d mean Mrs May has supp or t from “less than half the Conser vative MPS” including those “on the payroll”. That would lead t o “k n i f e - e d g e vo te s” a n d a “numb er of defeats” due to “up to 80” Labour rebels who want another referendum, he said, alongside SNP, Lib Dem and Change UK MPS who have pledged to vote against.

“This is when Lab our will finally kill it, if they have not done so already. Labour will be able to credibly say it is not what was originally agreed between them and the Prime Minister. It is politicall­y naive to go down this route.”

Warning Mrs May she was turning her own suppor ters against her, Mr Williamson said that scenario “should be avoided at all costs”.

“The Prime Minister needs to recognise that futile efforts to pull off this Labour deal are damaging us all. It is a grave mistake for any Prime Minister to fail to recognise when a plan will not work and it is fatal to press on regardless.

“We need to accept that these talks with Labour are fruitless and that not only will they not deliver the Brexit that people voted for, they are a betrayal of the direct instructio­ns the people gave us in 2016 and 2017.”

He said in order to deliver Brexit, you need your “tribe” 100 per cent with you, as well as a “clear-sighted determinat­ion of what you want to deliver”, as opposed to “the lowest common denominato­r.”

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