The Scotsman

Analysis: Starmer now faces a mountain to climb

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Campaignin­g in the Hartlepool by-election, Sir Keir Starmer said repeatedly that Labour had a "mountain to climb" if it was to regain power.

Now that the votes are in and counted, that task looks every bit as formidable as the party seeks to chart a route back to No 10.

It is hard to see the result as anything other than a personal blow to the Labour leader in his first major electoral test since he was elected a little more than a year ago.

Hartlepool has been Labour since the seat was created in 1974 and its loss is another damaging breach in the once impregnabl­e "red wall".

Sir Keir's supporters can and no doubt will - point to the underlying electoral dynamics behind the result.

At least in part, it would appear that many of the voters who backed the Brexit Party in the 2019 general election where it took a quarter of the vote - simply switched to the Conservati­ves.

But the difficulty for Sir Keir is that he is supposed to be the man to lead the party back to power again after the chaos of the Jeremy Corbyn years.

Hartlepool - once held by Peter Mandelson - is exactly

the sort of seat that Labour needs to win if it is to have any realistic hope of ousting the Tories from Downing Street.

And it is hardly alone among those constituen­cies the party did hold in 2019 with a reservoir of Brexit Party voters who may well look to the Conservati­ves the next time they come to cast their ballot.

It is hard to envisage any immediate threat to Sir Keir's position - Labour has always been far less ruthless when it comes to dispatchin­g leaders than the Tories.

There will no doubt be sniping from Corbynista­s unhappy at the way the left has been effectivel­y sidelined under his

leadership, although there is no sign of a sustained challenge.

However, the result - with more bad news for the party potentiall­y still to come as the council election results roll in - comes against a backdrop of growing unease at his performanc­e.

When he first took over the reins, there was relief in the Labour ranks.sir Keir has warned that the next election could come as early as spring 2023, and with Labour seeking to overturn its biggest defeat since 1935, the time in which to make an impact may soon start disappeari­ng very fast.

 ??  ?? 0 Jeremy Corbyn’s legacy means it is a long way back
0 Jeremy Corbyn’s legacy means it is a long way back

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