The Scotsman

AI means business direction is forward, not back

- Michelle Hawkins

How often in business are we encouraged to study the historical ebbs and flows of the market to model future strategies, to learn from the past?

No longer. That has now changed in a profound way. Rather than focusing on the past for insights, organisati­ons are increasing­ly looking forward, aided by advances in artificial intelligen­ce.

The rapid shifts we have seen in the economic environmen­t and consumer behaviour, caused most recently by events that many of us have no knowledge or previous experience of, makes looking to the past for solutions meaningles­s.

In a survey that spanned 18 countries for our latest Business Futures 2021 report, at least 82 per cent of executives said that the ability to learn from the future would be important to their organisati­on’s success in the years ahead. Yet only 31 per cent of the executives said they are confident in their ability to foresee and respond to behavioura­l changes that affect demand.

To make better decisions about the future, we need new data sets, including real time data across the business value chain and new analytical approaches – all of which are now being made possible by AI.

Applied across product developmen­t and sales life cycles, new sources of data and Aidriven models can provide companies greater confidence that they are on the right path to growth. At the same time, learning from the future can help companies prepare for risks. Engineers, for instance, are applying AI to leading indicators to make infrastruc­ture more resilient against climate change.

AI gives us the ability to identify what works for a new and evolving today and what will be required to thrive tomorrow.

Scotland is well advanced in its AI thinking and there is expansive opportunit­y. The launch of the Scottish government’s AI stratthat

egy in March set a course for Scotland to become a leader in the developmen­t and use of ‘trustworth­y, ethical and inclusive AI’.

Recognisin­g the potential to improve services and save lives in healthcare, the strategy seeks to build on Scotland’s history of academic excellence in AI developmen­t and a well-connected AI community.

What is made clear in the document is AI can contribute to economic, social and environmen­tal goals, helping to drive business growth and improve people’s wellbeing. One of the pillars to success is collaborat­ion, consultati­on and engagement across academia, industry, the public sector and the people of Scotland. The same multi-disciplina­ry approach is also vital within individual companies.

We now know that we have to consider the unexpected and respond with open minds to the unlikelies­t events. Instead of asking, say ‘What would we do if our servers went down?’ firms should ask ‘What would we do if there were no servers at all?’

Because no one knows what particular pieces of data will ultimately turn out to be important for predicting different events, there is also no such thing as valueless data. Organisati­ons that take a wide-lens approach to data use, tracking hundreds of variables, can better inform their algorithms. With the value of data becoming more temporal than ever, given fast-changing circumstan­ces on the ground, it is important that it gets used swiftly (or discarded if not used) and continuall­y updated.

Michelle Hawkins, is managing director for Accenture, Scotland

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