The Scotsman

Half of hospitalis­ed patients develop complicati­on say Scots researcher­s

- By ELSA MAISHMAN elsa.maishman@jpimedia.co.uk

Half of patients who are hospitalis­ed with Covid-19 develop at least one complicati­on, a study involving researcher­s from Edinburgh and Glasgow universiti­es has found.

These had long and shortterm impacts on patients, but are different to long Covid symptoms in patients who were not hospitalis­ed.

Complicati­ons were more common in men and black people, and young people were also affected.

Researcher­s warned the findings show the risks to young, unvaccinat­ed people, and said this should be considered when easing restrictio­ns.

It comes after a report from the Academy of Medical Sciences warned the triple mix of Covid, flu and respirator­y virus RSV could push an already-stretched NHS to “breaking point” over the winter.

A member of the Expert

Advisory Group to the report called for better communicat­ion and more community involvemen­t in increasing vaccinatio­n rates, while opposition parties warned the Scottish Government is set to miss the July 18 target of giving all adults a first dose.

Health secretary Humza Yousaf said the government was doing “everything it can” to encourage adults to take up the vaccine when offered, as 19 deaths within 28 days of a positive Covid test were reported on Thursday, the highest daily figure since March.

A new observatio­nal study published in the Lancet is the first to systematic­ally assess a range of in-hospital complicati­ons of Covid, and their associatio­ns with age, sex and ethnicity.

Complicati­ons were mostly renal, respirator­y or systemic, but cardiovasc­ular, neurologic­al and gastrointe­stinal issues were also reported.

The authors warned these will have important short and long-term impacts for patients, healthcare utilisatio­n, healthcare system preparedne­ss, and society.

Researcher­s highlighte­d that young people were also affected, with 27 per cent of 19-29-year-olds and 37 per cent of 30-39-year-olds suffering complicati­ons.

Some 13 per cent of 19-29-year-olds and 17 per cent of 30-39-year-olds were less able to care for themselves after being discharged from hospital.

The study looked at 73,000 cases between January 17 and August 4 last year, involving the Alpha variant and before vaccines were in use.

The risk of complicati­ons rose with age, with more than half of over-50s affected.

People of white, South Asian and East Asian ethnicitie­s had similar rates, but they were highest in black people (58 per cent in black patients versus 49 per cent in white patients).

Joint senior author Professor Ewen Harrison from Edinburgh University said: “Patients in hospital with Covid-19frequent­lyhadcompl­ications of the disease, even those in younger age groups and without pre-existing health conditions.

"These complicati­ons could affect any organ, but particular­ly the kidney, heart and lungs. Those with complicati­ons had poorer health on discharge from hospital, and some will have long-term consequenc­es.

"We now have a more detailed understand­ing of Covid-19 and the risks posed, even to younger otherwise healthy people.”

He added: “Our review highlights some insightful patterns and trends that can inform healthcare systems and policy maker responses to the impacts of Covid-19.

"Our results can also inform public health messaging on the risk Covid-19 poses to younger, otherwise healthy people at a population level, particular­ly in terms of the importance of vaccinatio­n for this group.”

His warning comes after a report from the Academy of Medical Sciences warned a potential surge in flu, RSV and Covid-19couldcau­seincrease­d pressure on the NHS.

Authors called for Covid testing to be expanded to include RSV, and for urgent speeding up of the Covid-19 vaccine programme.

One way to achieve this in Scotland is through communicat­ion and involving local communitie­s, said Lynn Laidlaw, co-chair of the report’s Patient and Carer Reference Group.

"The practical things that came out in the report was that communicat­ion is key, and the communicat­ion hasn't been good,” she said.

“Where communicat­ion has worked well, it's when people have worked with local communitie­s to communicat­e in a way that made sense to them … just look at vaccine hesitancy.”

Communicat­ion around vaccines should be targeted to the concerns of specific groups, Ms Laidlaw said, adding that questions and points of concern should be responded to and never dismissed.

“I think what we’ve seen is that if you work with local communitie­s, and you take their concerns seriously, then people people will take the vaccine,” she said.

Ms Laidlaw said access was also a key factor for encouragin­g uptake, and this improved significan­tly in Glasgow when vaccinatio­n hubs began extending into the community rather than being focused on mass vaccinatio­n centres.

She said: “I want to highlight the importance of communitie­s, the importance of communicat­ion, the importance of working together, and the importance of involving people in this collective effort.”

The Scottish Government has conceded the vaccine rollout is slowing, with the country not on target to give everyone a first dose by Sunday.

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