The Scotsman

Hunt says difficult tax rise decisions will put the UK on path to stability

- By BEN HATTON newsdeskts@scotsman.com

Hunt has outlined a package containing “difficult decisions” that amounts to a “substantia­l tax increase” in an autumn statement he said would put the UK on a “path to stability”.

The package represents a significan­t change from his predecesso­r Kwasi Kwarteng’s unfunded tax cuts in the disastrous mini-budget less than two months, ago which was widely blamed for having spooked the markets.

Households will face increased energy bills, high inflation and tax hikes as the country is hit by recession.

Chancellor Jeremy Hunt told MPS he was having to make difficult decisions to ensure a “shallower downturn”, but the economy was still expected to shrink 1.4% in 2023.

Here are the main points from Chanceljer­emy lor Jeremy Hunt’s autumn statement:growth and recession

– The OBR has said that the UK is “now in recession”, Mr Hunt said, but he added “overall this year, the economy is still forecast to grow by 4.2%”.

– Mr Hunt promised his autumn statement will lead to a “shallower downturn” in the UK’S finances.

– Underlying debt as a percentage of GDP is expected to fall from a peak of 97.6% of GDP in 2025-26 to 97.3% in 2027-28.

– Mr Hunt announced two new fiscal rules, that underlying debt must fall as a percentage of GDP by the fifth year of a rolling five-year period, and that public sector borrowing, over the same period, must be below 3% of GDP.PAY and support with the cost of living

– The energy price guarantee scheme will increase from £2,500 for the average household to £3,000 for 12 months from April, Mr Hunt confirmed.

– The Government will introduce additional cost-of-living payments for the “most vulnerable”, with £900 for those on benefits, £300 for pensioners and £150 for those on a disability benefit.

– The Chancellor said he will cap the increase in social rents at a maximum of 7% in 2023/24, saving the average tenant £200 next year.

– Mr Hunt has accepted a recommenda­tion to increase the national living wage by 9.7%, making the hourly rate £10.42 from April 2023.

Inflation

– The Chancellor told MPS the Office of Budget Responsibi­lity (OBR) has confirmed “global factors” are the “primary cause” of inflation.

– The OBR forecasts the UK’S inflation rate to be 9.1% this year and 7.4% next year.

– He said the autumn statement will cause inflation to “fall sharply from the middle of next year”.

– The Chancellor confirmed the Bank of England’s remit will not be changed and it has his “wholeheart­ed support in its mission to defeat inflation”. Tax

– Mr Hunt reduced the threshold at which the top rate of income tax is paid from £150,000 to £125,140, but said he was not raising headline rates of taxation. He said those earning £150,000 or more will pay just over £1,200 more a year.

– Mr Hunt said he would protect the increases in department­al budgets already set out in cash terms, before growing resource spending at 1% a year in real terms over the next three years. He said public spending would grow “slower than the economy”.

– Electric vehicles will no longer be exempt from Vehicle Excise Duty from April 2025 to make the motoring tax system “fairer”.

– Mr Hunt increased the windfall tax on oil and gas giants from 25% to 35% and imposed a 45% levy on electricit­y generators to raise an estimated £14 billion next year.

– On business rates, Mr Hunt said the Government will proceed with the revaluatio­n of business properties from April 2023.

– The stamp duty cuts announced in the mini-budget will remain in place but only until March 31 2025. Mr Hunt told the House the OBR expects housing activity to slow over the next two years.

– On business taxes, the Chancellor said he had decided to freeze the Employers National Insurance Contributi­ons threshold until April 2028. “We will retain the Employment Allowance at its new, higher level of £5,000,” he said.

– The Chancellor rejected calls to put VAT on independen­t school fees.

Health

– Mr Hunt said he will increase the NHS budget by an extra £3.3 billion in each of the next two years.

– The NHS will be asked to “join all public services in tackling waste and inefficien­cy”.

– Mr Hunt said the NHS would publish an independen­tly-verified plan for the number of doctors, nurses and other profession­als needed in five, 10 and 15 years’ time.

– He allocated for adult social care additional grant funding of £1 billion next year and £1.7 billion the year after. Spending and benefits

– Mr Hunt said “with just under half of the £55 billion consolidat­ion coming from tax, and just over half from spending, this is a balanced plan for stability”.

– The Chancellor said he will invest an extra £2.3 billion per year in schools over the next two years.

– It will “not be possible” to return to the 0.7% overseas aid target “until the fiscal situation allows”, Mr Hunt said.

– Mr Hunt said he would move back the managed transition of people on to Universal Credit to 2028.

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