The MoS seat-o-meter

THE first week of the Election campaign could not have gone better for Theresa May. Her average lead in the polls has shot up from 16 points when she announced she would go to the country, to 21 points now.

The polls have also shown the Tories advancing strongly in Scotland and have even put the party well ahead in Wales. As a result, our MoS seat-o-meter, put together with the help of John Curtice, professor of politics at Strathclyde University, shows Mrs May’s likely majority has gone up from just over 100 to 142 seats. A switch by Ukip supporters to the Conservatives means even more Labour seats are now at risk.