The Scottish Mail on Sunday

Profession­al services tax haul set for £14bn slump

- By Helen Cahill

A DECLINE in the profession­al services sector will produce one of the biggest hits to the Treasury’s tax take, analysis for The Mail on Sunday reveals.

The slump in work for lawyers, accountant­s and consultant­s will cost the Government £14.4billion, according to the New Economics Foundation.

The sector’s income tax, VAT and corporatio­n tax payments will fall by £9billion, £3.9billion and £1.5billion respective­ly in the three months to June.

Lawyers have seen a sharp drop in key areas such as home sales. Consultant­s have also suffered as firms limit spending and put deal-making on ice.

Last week, financial services giant EY told consultant­s to go on holiday for the final week of May if their work had dried up. EY said it might have to do this again in coming months if the economy does not pick up.

City law firms Freshfield­s and Linklaters have both suspended lucrative payouts to partners.

The only sectors showing a greater tax hit are retail and manufactur­ing, set to account for £27billion and £20.6billion in lost tax income respective­ly.

NEF said the Treasury would lose £97.5billion in tax against figures in the March Budget, assuming three months of lockdown, followed by three months of social distancing.

Alfie Stirling, economics chief at NEF, said: ‘The Government must invest to repair its tax base in key sectors. The question is, how much will come back automatica­lly? If you know that you can intervene to repair the places you need.’

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