PM: failure to reopen schools not an option
Push to restart lessons as medical chiefs call Covid risk to children ‘exceptionally small’
BORIS JOHNSON has told allies that “failure to reopen schools is not an option” as the UK’s four chief medical officers today issue a joint endorsement of the Government’s drive to get every pupil back into the classroom next week.
Prof Chris Whitty and his Scottish, Welsh and Northern Irish counterparts today state that children are at far less risk of becoming seriously ill with Covid-19 and have an “exceptionally small risk of dying”.
In an interview due to be broadcast today, Prof Whitty says the threat posed by coronavirus to children pales in comparison with the “disparities” and “deep-rooted problems” that come with continuing to keep them at home.
“The balance of risk is very strongly in favour of children going to school because many more are likely to be harmed by not going than harmed by going, even during this pandemic,” Prof Whitty says.
It comes as Mr Johnson this week prepares to spearhead the Government’s drive for all pupils to return to the classroom, as he attempts to get back on the front foot in the wake of the exams fiasco.
The Prime Minister is set to take a hands-on approach after returning from his holiday in Scotland, with a visit planned to a school later this week in a bid to boost confidence among parents that classrooms are Covid-secure.
Last night, Carrie Symonds, Mr Johnson’s fiancée, posted photographs of the couple’s holiday on Instagram, showing them taking a stroll with their dog Dilyn and Wilfred, their baby son.
According to a Whitehall source, Downing Street has made clear there can be “no ifs, no buts” in delivering on the national priority.
“Schools not coming back is not an option,” they added. “Failure is not an option.”
Separately, The Sunday Telegraph can disclose that:
Ministers believe Gavin Williamson, the Education Secretary, has one “last chance” to salvage his Cabinet career;
Some of the country’s biggest teaching unions have privately welcomed Mr Williamson clinging on to his post, describing him as their “useful idiot”;
Social media influencers are being enlisted to help communicate the back to school message directly to pupils as part of a major publicity blitz;
Hopes for a vaccine by this winter have been played down by Prof Whitty, who suggests there is a “reasonable chance” that it will be in place by this time next year.
Senior Conservative MPs have called for Mr Johnson to take the lead on schools and sideline Mr Williamson, amid fears that widespread anger over last week’s exams about-turn has left him incapable of shaping public opinion positively.
Their concerns have been echoed by several Cabinet ministers, with one saying: “We’ve got to get schools back. That’s the test for him.”
Throughout the pandemic, the prolonged closure of schools has been among the greatest concerns weighing on the minds of Mr Johnson and his
most senior aides and ministers. The decision to shut schools in March has meant that some pupils have not received face-to-face teaching for nearly six months, with teachers warning of a widening attainment gap between rich and poor children.
In June, some primary school year groups began returning to their classrooms, with secondary years 10 and 12 allowed limited face-to-face contact. However, a lack of confidence among parents was blamed for relatively low attendance rates.
In a bid to reassure parents, the four chief medical officers and their deputies have released a 21-point statement that suggests the risks to children can be contained.
They point to “extensive evidence” showing there is an “exceptionally small risk” of primary and secondary schoolchildren dying from Covid-19, with fatalities among 5 to 14-year-olds estimated at 14 per million, lower than most flu seasons.
The CMOs say they are confident that there is a “very low rate of severe disease” among children compared with adults, with the percentage of symptomatic cases requiring hospital treatment believed to be 0.1 per cent for one to nine-year-olds, rising slightly to 0.3 per cent for 10 to 19-year-olds.
“Most of these children make a rapid recovery,” they note.
In contrast, however, the experts warn that a lack of schooling increases inequalities, reduces the life chances of children and can “exacerbate physical and mental health issues”.
These problems cannot be resolved through “home-based education alone”.
There is “reasonable”, albeit not conclusive, evidence that primary age children have a “significantly” lower chance of catching Covid-19, while at worst older children and teenagers are less likely or have the same chance of contracting the disease as adults.
Transmission does occur in schools, but is “probably not a common route”, they note and can be reduced through the measures introduced by the Government, including better hand and surface hygiene, creating social bubbles of students, and rearranging classrooms.
The CMOs suggest teachers are no more at risk of dying than the general workforce, with transmission likely to be mainly “staff to staff ” rather than from pupils, underlining the need for social distancing to be observed.
International evidence suggests children passing the disease on to their parents or relatives is “relatively rare”, although they point out this is more likely for teenagers and the evidence remains “weak”.
While schools reopening is likely to lead to an increase in the R reproduction rate, the CMOs believe that the impact will be less than initially feared, although it could be enough to push it above one, the point at which cases begin rising exponentially.
In that event, they suggest the priority will be tackling outbreaks at a local level, although Prof Whitty warns it is “certainly possible” that societal tradeoffs, such as the closure of shops, pubs or restaurants, will be needed.
“What we’re trying to do at all points is do things that keep transmission rates low that do the least social and economic damage to achieve that,” he adds. “It’s a balance and there is not a perfect solution to this.”