Mountain to climb just got steeper

CAMPAIGNING in the Hartlepool by-election, Sir Keir Starmer said repeatedly that Labour had a “mountain to climb” if it was to regain power, writes Gavin Cordon.

Now that the votes are in and counted, that task looks every bit as formidable as the party seeks to chart a route back to No 10.

It is hard to see the result as anything other than a personal blow to the Labour leader in his first major electoral test since he was elected a little more than a year ago.

Hartlepool has been Labour since the seat was created in 1974 and its loss is another damaging breach in the once impregnable “red wall”.

Sir Keir’s supporters can - and no doubt will - point to the underlying electoral dynamics behind the result.

At least in part, it would appear that many of the voters who backed the Brexit Party in the 2019 General Election - where it took a quarter of the vote - simply switched to the Conservatives.

But the difficulty for Sir Keir is that he is supposed to be the man to lead the party back to power again after the chaos of the Jeremy Corbyn years.

Hartlepool - once held by Peter Mandelson - is exactly the sort of seat that Labour needs to win if it is to have any realistic hope of ousting the Tories from Downing Street.

And it is hardly alone among those constituencies the party did hold in 2019 with a reservoir of Brexit Party voters who may well look to the Tories the next time they come to cast their ballot.

It is hard to envisage any immediate threat to Sir Keir’s position Labour has always been far less ruthless when it comes to dispatching leaders than the Tories.

There will no doubt be sniping from Corbynistas unhappy at the way the left has been effectively sidelined under his leadership, although there is no sign of a sustained challenge.

However, the result - with more bad news for the party potentially still to come as the council election results roll in - comes against a backdrop of growing unease at his performance.

When he first took over the reins, there was relief in the Labour ranks that they now had a leader that voters could actually see as a prime minister in waiting in a way that many never could Mr Corbyn.

As the Government flailed in the early days of the pandemic, Sir Keir proved effective in holding Boris Johnson’s feet to the fire over its failings on PPE and test and trace. But since the successful rollout of the vaccine programme around the turn of the year, Labour has been steadily losing ground to the Tories.