Many doors will shut in UK’s face if we leave the EU with­out a deal

The Gov­ern­ment has now pub­lished more than 50 ‘im­pact’ pa­pers show­ing the ef­fect on all of us if we crash out of the EU with­out a deal. While sev­eral deal mainly with the im­pact on busi­nesses that will have to change how they im­port and ex­port goods to an

Western Mail - - WM2 / Agenda / Letters / Opinion - ■ We will lose ac­cess to space

■ Eurostar will ‘stop run­ning’...

France’s Europe min­is­ter, Nathalie Loiseau, said re­ports that Bri­tish planes and Eurostar trains trav­el­ling be­tween Lon­don and Paris would be turned back un­der a “no-deal” Brexit were “cor­rect”. She added: “If we reach no agree­ment this is what will hap­pen, among other things.”

■ Driv­ing in the EU...

If there is no deal with the EU, you may need to ob­tain an In­ter­na­tional Driv­ing Per­mit (IDP) to drive in the EU. The gov­ern­ment warns: “You may be turned away at the bor­der or face other en­force­ment ac­tion, for ex­am­ple, fines, if you don’t have the cor­rect IDP. You may also need an IDP to hire a ve­hi­cle when you are abroad.”

To ap­ply for an in­ter­na­tional driv­ing per­mit you need to go to a post of­fice. It costs £5.50.

■ Ire­land...

This will also ap­ply to peo­ple from North­ern Ire­land driv­ing to Ire­land.

It is not clear who will en­force th­ese rules, but any­one from the north driv­ing in the south could po­ten­tially face fines or sanc­tions if they don’t ob­tain a per­mit.

■ No guar­an­tees mo­bile phone charges won’t rise...

Mo­bile phone roam­ing charges could be hiked less than two years af­ter they were slashed across the EU.

Costs were cut in June 2017, mean­ing there is no ex­tra fee for us­ing a Bri­tish de­vice on the Con­ti­nent for calls, texts and data.

Op­er­a­tors would not be bound by the agree­ment if the UK crashes out with­out a deal.

The big­gest com­pa­nies, ser­vic­ing 85% of cus­tomers – Three, EE, O2 and Voda­fone – have no plans to reim­pose roam­ing charges af­ter Brexit.

But in terms of the en­tire mo­bile mar­ket, “sur­charge-free roam­ing when you travel to the EU could no longer be guar­an­teed,” the gov­ern­ment warns.

■ House prices will plunge...

Bank of Eng­land gov­er­nor Mark Car­ney warned that a no-deal Brexit could send house prices plum­met­ing. He be­lieves that house prices could fall as much as 35% over a three-year pe­riod.

Sev­eral re­ports also told the BBC that the Bank gov­er­nor also told the Down­ing Street meet­ing that mort­gage rates could spi­ral, the pound and in­fla­tion could fall, and count­less home­own­ers could be left in neg­a­tive eq­uity. ■ Pass­ports...

Blue pass­ports will start be­ing is­sued from late 2019.

If you re­new your passport be­tween late 2019 and early 2020, you’ll be au­to­mat­i­cally is­sued with ei­ther a blue or bur­gundy Bri­tish passport.

Af­ter March 29, 2019, if you’re a Bri­tish passport-holder (in­clud­ing pass­ports is­sued by the Crown de­pen­den­cies and Gi­bral­tar), you’ll be con­sid­ered a third coun­try na­tional un­der the Schen­gen Bor­der Code.

Ac­cord­ing to the Schen­gen Bor­der Code, third coun­try pass­ports must have at least three months’ va­lid­ity re­main­ing.

If you are plan­ning to travel af­ter March 29, 2019, and your passport will be af­fected by the new va­lid­ity rules, it is rec­om­mended you con­sider re­new­ing your passport soon to avoid any de­lay. re­search...

The UK will no longer play any part in the development of the Galileo satel­lite nav­i­ga­tion sys­tem.

Firms and aca­demics here will no longer be able to bid for con­tracts to sup­ply it or work on aca­demic re­search for it.

Firms that host ground in­fra­struc­ture for it may no longer be able to do so.

The UK’s aca­demics and busi­nesses will also no longer be able to par­tic­i­pate in the Coper­ni­cus pro­gramme to ob­serve Earth through the study of vast amounts of global data from mea­sure­ment sys­tems.

Cardiff Cen­tral MP Jo Stevens said: “It is deeply wor­ry­ing that the UK will be shut out of some of the most cut­ting-edge re­search in the world.

“This re­search pro­vides thou­sands of high-tech jobs and pro­vides the econ­omy bil­lions ev­ery year.

“Theresa May used to say Brexit wouldn’t be the end of the world – but ac­tu­ally it could be!

“By walk­ing away from th­ese col­lab­o­ra­tive projects, we will be iso­lat­ing our­selves and hav­ing to start from scratch, spend­ing a for­tune when our Euro­pean coun­ter­parts have al­ready fin­ished the job.”

■ UK cars won’t be au­to­mat­i­cally ‘valid for sale’ in the EU...

Bri­tish car-mak­ers and firms sup­ply­ing car parts from the UK would face more red tape to sell their ve­hi­cles and com­po­nents on the Con­ti­nent.

The pa­per says: “In a no deal sce­nario, (Euro­pean Com­mu­nity)-type ap­proval is­sued in the UK would no longer be valid for sales or reg­is­tra­tions on the EU mar­ket.

“EC-type ap­provals is­sued out­side of the UK would no longer be au­to­mat­i­cally ac­cepted on the UK mar­ket.

“This means that af­fected man­u­fac­tur­ers would need to en­sure that they have the cor­rect-type ap­proval for each mar­ket.”

The Best for Bri­tain anti-Brexit group claims this could be “an­other blow to the mo­tor in­dus­try” – which em­ploys thou­sands of hard-work­ing Brits.

■ Heart­bro­ken fam­i­lies could be trapped in limbo...

Fam­i­lies who are mid­way through di­vorce or child cus­tody cases in­volv­ing an­other EU coun­try could find them­selves trapped in limbo.

If there’s a no-deal Brexit, the UK will cease to be part of co-op­er­a­tion be­tween EU fam­ily courts on March 29, 2019.

In­stead the UK will fall back on le­gal con­ven­tions drawn up in The Hague. But th­ese are com­pli­cated and do not cover ev­ery area of the law.

The gov­ern­ment has ad­vised fam­i­lies with on­go­ing cases to seek le­gal ad­vice if they will not fin­ish by Brexit Day.

The tech­ni­cal note says: “Broadly speak­ing, cases on­go­ing on exit day will con­tinue to pro­ceed un­der the cur­rent rules.

“How­ever, we can­not guar­an­tee that EU courts will fol­low the same prin­ci­ple, nor that EU courts will ac­cept or recog­nise any judg­ments stem­ming from th­ese cases.”

Un­der a sim­i­lar prin­ci­ple, com­pa­nies ap­ply­ing to make EU firms in­sol­vent or those seek­ing to chase small debts could also have to seek le­gal ad­vice.

■ Medicines and per­fumes ‘could be­come more ex­pen­sive’...

Cur­rently, popular in­gre­di­ents in cold medicines can usu­ally be traded within the EU with­out a li­cence. In a no deal, a li­cence will be re­quired to trade th­ese so-called “pre­cur­sors”.

So if we leave with­out a deal, firms who want to trade such chem­i­cals with the EU will have to reg­is­ter with the Home Of­fice, which can cost be­tween £109 and £3,665.

They will also need an im­port/ ex­port li­cence, which costs £24. Crit­ics say this could push up prices for con­sumers in the shops.

Sim­i­larly, cos­met­ics firms will be sub­jected to more red tape to prove their prod­ucts are safe for hu­man health.

Cur­rently they can use one le­gal “nom­i­nated per­son” to cer­tify a prod­uct for the whole EU mar­ket.

But if there’s a no-deal Brexit, UK checks won’t be recog­nised in the EU – and EU checks won’t be recog­nised in the UK. That means two sets of checks.

Labour MP Owen Smith claimed drug gi­ants will look to “pass on the costs”.

> If you’re plan­ning a sum­mer hol­i­day next year, you’ll have to start plan­ning early... you may also want to think twice about book­ing Eurostar tick­ets

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