Western Mail

New prime minister will face a whole world of challenges

Britain’s next prime minister will face a daunting in-tray when he takes office this week. Here’s a look at the main challenges awaiting Jeremy Hunt or Boris Johnson when one of them sets foot inside Number 10

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Brexit

Finding a way to succeed where Theresa May failed by getting a Brexit deal through Parliament will be the most immediate political challenge.

Unless a snap general election is called to elect a new House of Commons, the incoming leader will face the same parliament­ary difficulti­es that scuppered Mrs May’s attempts to build a coalition behind her proposals.

Alternativ­ely, a new premier could pursue a no-deal policy and allow the UK to leave on October 31 without a formal agreement - although MPs may take steps to prevent that happening.

Either way, the new prime minister will have to find a way to reunite a Tory party which has splintered over the issue and counter the threat posed by Nigel Farage’s Brexit Party, which has sucked support away from the Conservati­ves.

The Union

Brexit has reignited the Scottish National Party’s push for independen­ce.

Scotland voted to remain in the European Union and First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has said she wants another referendum on independen­ce by 2021 if the country faces being taken out of the bloc.

In Northern Ireland, which also voted to remain in the EU in 2016, Sinn Fein has repeatedly called for a border poll to be conducted on whether there should be reunificat­ion with the Republic of Ireland.

Under the terms of the 1998 Good Friday peace agreement, the UK Government is obliged to call a vote on the constituti­onal issue if there is evidence of a change in public opinion in Northern Ireland in favour of Irish reunificat­ion.

In Wales, Plaid Cymru leader Adam Price has called for a referendum on Welsh independen­ce if there is no second vote on leaving the EU.

Donald Trump

A post-Brexit trade deal is one of the key prizes sought by the UK after leaving the EU, but negotiatio­ns are likely to run into difficulti­es over agricultur­al standards - with political rows over chlorine-washed chicken and hormone-treated beef - and Mr Trump’s “America first” approach to internatio­nal affairs.

Managing the special relationsh­ip will be especially challengin­g for the next PM following a fraught few weeks of diplomatic drama which led to the resignatio­n of the UK’s ambassador to the US, Sir Kim Darroch.

Unless Mrs May makes an appointmen­t during her final days in office, Mr Hunt or Mr Johnson will have to decide who should be Britain’s representa­tive in Washington.

China

The tensions caused by China’s rise as an economic and political powerhouse are felt across the West, with the row over whether to allow Huawei to contribute to the UK’s 5G network a symptom of wider unease.

Mr Trump’s US has adopted a tough public approach to China – banning Huawei and slapping tariffs on steel and other imports – while the UK has sought to build a “golden era” of relations with Beijing.

But pressure on the new PM from Washington, a final decision on Huawei and disputes over Beijing’s territoria­l claims in the South China Sea could lead to a rocky period for the UK-China relationsh­ip.

Iran

Fears of a slide into an all-out conflict between Iran and the West have heightened after a Royal Navy warship intervened to drive off Iranian patrol boats when they approached a British tanker as it sailed through the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has now seized a UK ship in retaliatio­n for the detention of the Iranian supertanke­r Grace 1, held in Gibraltar after being detained in an operation involving British Royal Marines.

The UK is at odds with its US allies over the Iran nuclear deal, but shares some of Washington’s concerns about Tehran’s wider activities in the Middle East.

With Mr Trump ramping up the US military presence in the area, the new prime minister could be forced to confront major decisions about war and peace early in their tenure.

However, Mr Johnson and Mr Hunt have both ruled out backing the US in any conflict against Iran.

Social care

The issue which, more than any other, derailed Mrs May’s 2017 General Election campaign, her successor will have to come up with a system to cope with the rising costs of the UK’s ageing population.

A green paper setting out proposals on how to fund the system has been repeatedly delayed and the issue is politicall­y toxic, with any suggestion of paying for care out of a person’s estate after they die liable to be condemned as a “death tax” by critics, while hiking income tax or national insurance could also be unpopular.

 ??  ?? > Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt
> Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt

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