Western Mail

‘TROPICAL FORESTS LOSING ABILITY TO ABSORB CARBON’

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THE ability of the world’s tropical forests to absorb carbon from the atmosphere is decreasing – decades ahead of prediction­s, researcher­s have warned.

The finding that tropical forests are absorbing less of the extra carbon dioxide caused by human activities makes efforts to cut emissions to curb rising global temperatur­es even more urgent, the scientists said.

Existing undisturbe­d tropical forests are a crucial global carbon store or “sink”, which slow the impacts of emissions from activities such as burning fossil fuels, by removing carbon dioxide from the air and storing it in trees.

Climate models typically predict forests will go on giving humans this helping hand in dealing with emissions for decades.

But a new study suggests a feared switch in the world’s tropical forests from a carbon sink to being a source of extra carbon dioxide – putting out more of the gas from the death of trees than living trees absorb – has begun.

The study published in the journal Nature, which tracked 300,000 trees over 30 years in Africa and the Amazon, suggests the overall uptake of carbon by intact tropical forests peaked in the 1990s.

By the 2010s, the ability of these forests to absorb carbon dioxide had declined by a third on average.

The boost to growth that extra carbon dioxide provides is increasing­ly being countered by higher temperatur­es and drought that slows growth and can kill trees, causing carbon losses, the researcher­s say.

The land area covered by intact forests also declined by almost a fifth (19%) in the face of deforestat­ion

– and carbon dioxide emissions from human activity jumped by 46% over that time. As a result, intact forests removed 17% of carbon emissions caused by humans in the 1990s, but only 6% by the 2010s.

Overall, undisturbe­d tropical forests removed around 46 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide in the 1990s, but only 25 billion tonnes by the 2010s.

As the future carbon uptake in tropical forests that is assumed in climate models is less than previously thought, humans have to drive down emissions faster and reach “net zero” greenhouse gases earlier, the experts warn.

Senior author Professor Simon Lewis, from the School of Geography at Leeds, said: “Unless policies are put in place to stabilise Earth’s climate, it is only a matter of time until they are no longer able to sequester carbon.

“One big concern for the future of humanity is when carbon-cycle feedbacks really kick in, with nature switching from slowing climate change to accelerati­ng it.

“After years of work deep in the Congo and Amazon rainforest­s, we’ve found that one of the most worrying impacts of climate change has already begun.”

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