Backing for second vote in all areas of UK, say campaigners
NEW ANALYSIS of polling figures shows that voters back a second EU referendum in every area of the country – including the constituencies of Theresa May, Jeremy Corbyn and Boris Johnson – campaigners have claimed.
The research, released by the Best for Britain campaign 100 days before the scheduled date of Brexit, suggested that the UK would vote Remain in a second referendum by 56 to 44 per cent.
The 12-point lead for Remain is a higher margin than seen in any mainstream conventional poll since the 2016 EU referendum, won by Leave by 52-48. The analysis also suggested that voters in Mrs May’s Maidenhead constituency would prefer to stay in the EU than leave under her Brexit deal by a margin of 55-45.
Best for Britain’s research is based on modelling by data consultancy Focaldata using a method called Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) on raw data from polling of more than 8,000 people between October 24 and November 6.
According to the campaign group, the analysis found majority support for what they term a People’s Vote among supporters of every major party, residents of every region of the country and both men and women.
Respondents were asked whether they “support the British public having the final say on the Brexit deal”.
The reported results omit those who said “don’t know” or refused to answer, so that totals add up to 100 per cent.
Support for a public vote was highest in London and Scotland at 72 and 71 per cent respectively, followed by the North East, North West and Wales. In Yorkshire and the Humber it was at 66 per cent, but was lowest in the East Midlands, East of England and South West.