Albany Times Union (Sunday)

Zelenskyy continues to rise in the moment

Leader represents Ukraine’s tenacity, underdog victories

- By Andrew E. Kramer

KYIV, Ukraine — As Russian tanks rumbled into Ukraine in the predawn a year ago, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy recorded a simple video address to his nation: “We are strong,” he said. “We will defeat everyone because we are Ukraine.”

Amid the swirl of chaotic battles, shifting military fortunes and the thorny terrain of global diplomacy that followed, one thing remained constant: Zelenskyy showing up in selfies filmed on his phone, to deliver speeches and to appear in slickly produced videos beamed into foreign parliament­s, his haggard, bearded but defiant appearance becoming the face of Ukraine’s struggle at home and abroad.

For years, Zelenskyy, a former comedic actor, had been brushed off by critics as a lightweigh­t, new to politics, naive about Russia and buffeted by the political headwinds of a presidenti­al impeachmen­t in the United States and a failed diplomatic endeavor with Russia. That is no longer the case.

After three successful counteroff­ensives, in which his army defeated Russian forces on the battlefiel­d and upended long-held ideas about the balance of military power in Europe, Zelenskyy, 45, has grown more confident and battle-tested.

His soldiers have reclaimed nearly half of the land Russia seized in the invasion’s opening days, and for now have successful­ly resisted a new Russian offensive. Western nations rallied behind him in high-profile meetings this month, capped by President Joe Biden’s visit to Kyiv on Monday.

And in much of the world, Zelenskyy has become a household name, representi­ng Ukraine’s tenacity and underdog victories against Russia. Despite wearing T-shirts and having once voiced over the cartoon character Paddington Bear, Zelenskyy has been transforme­d by the war into a leader on the world stage with as much gravitas as any other.

Operating in the crucible of violence, Zelenskyy navigated the quickly evolving needs of his army and country. First, he had to survive. When the invasion came and he became a target for Russia, he refused to be spirited out of Kyiv for safety.

Pivotal early decisions hinged on whether and when to simply go outside, to videotape his presence in the capital, risking missile strikes.

He has softened his early chiding of foreign leaders over weapons supplies, which irritated Western officials, including Biden. He was cordial and diplomatic in meetings with European leaders this month — in part because he has largely gotten what he wanted from them.

He has not bent to pressure from some Western allies to engage in peace talks, sticking to his demand that any deal must include the return of captured territory — a condition Russia would almost certainly reject.

Zelenskyy has also shed the second-guessing he exhibited last summer about life-or-death military decisions, and has accumulate­d the stature to be able to fire top officials to cleanse his administra­tion of corruption.

“He is more at peace with himself,” said an adviser to Zelenskyy, speaking on the condition of anonymity to disclose private observatio­ns. “He has a clear understand­ing what Ukraine should do. There is no ambiguity: There is no peace with Russia, and Ukraine must arm itself to the teeth.”

As commander in chief, Zelenskyy decides key military questions, like the major offensives Ukraine has undertaken, but otherwise delegates to his generals. He is briefed on battlefiel­d developmen­ts early every morning, aides say.

Zelenskyy has been accused by his political adversarie­s of exploiting his wartime authority to solidify his grip on the levers of power through martial law and through the consolidat­ion of the media.

Television news broadcasts from several channels were banded into one, for example, controlled by the state, which critics say stifles free speech. The criticism intensifie­d in late

December when Zelenskyy signed a bill expanding the authority of Ukraine’s state broadcasti­ng regulator to cover the online and print news media.

A year into the war, the first cracks have appeared in Zelenskyy’s tight coterie of aides and top advisers with a string of firings in January over corruption allegation­s, including claims that officials cut deals that overcharge­d the military for food.

And in a country accustomed to pluralisti­c politics, opposition parties have seen in Zelenskyy’s leadership an over-personific­ation of Ukraine’s struggle, centered on him at the expense of the thousands of other top officials and the millions of Ukrainians engaged in the war effort.

Still, once the invasion began, Zelenskyy decided he would need to maintain a continual public presence, to show the country that he was confident and had no fear, the adviser said.

Zelenskyy is often said to lead through public relations, and those efforts became a hallmark of his outreach — to his own citizens, and to the world.

Analyses of this copious wartime output — in videos, ad-libbed comments on his cellphone and nightly addresses to Ukrainians — show he has, from the opening day of the invasion, turned to recurring themes: Ukraine will prevail through unity and patriotism, Russia is a terrorist state, and Ukraine will be blunt in asking for aid from allies.

“Sometimes, those of us who study politics tend to be very cautious of highlighti­ng leadership,” said Olga Onuch, a political science professor at Manchester University in England and co-author of a book on Zelenskyy’s tenure in Ukraine, “The Zelensky Effect.” “We tend to be skeptical of politician­s,” she added. “But his leadership has been hugely important” for Ukraine.

Even some in the political opposition before the invasion say that Zelenskyy’s publicity-driven approach to wartime leadership has been effective.

“Before the war, I was a very vocal critic,” Oleksiy Honcharenk­o, a member of parliament in the opposition European Solidarity Party, said. “But I should be absolutely frank: He is doing a great job as commander in chief. He became the face of Ukraine and a face the world admires.”

But close observers of Zelenskyy’s presidency say that he did not so much Please see

change as fit, improbably, into Ukraine’s moment of need. By the time of the invasion, they say, he had already evolved — in his politics, his style and his persona — into the leader the world would only come to know once the war started.

Through 2021, Zelenskyy had tried, without success, to revive talks with Moscow over settling the conflict in eastern Ukraine that had been simmering since Russia intervened militarily in 2014. And, brushing off criticism of naiveté, in 2019, Zelenskyy even surrendere­d territory to Russian proxies in a policy of disengagem­ent along the front line, in hopes of easing talks.

The failure of this initiative, and a backlash at home — with street protesters in Kyiv accusing him of treason for surrenderi­ng land — steered the Ukrainian president to a political formula in which he rejected concession­s forced by Moscow.

Instead, he has bet on Ukrainians’ will to fight and the backing of allies, an approach that has so far proved successful.

Although Zelenskyy made a career in Russianlan­guage cinema before entering politics, he embodied the pivot to the Ukrainian language in nearly all public settings that many people in Ukraine took after the invasion — but Zelenskyy began that turn at the outset of his 2019 presidenti­al campaign and early in his presidency.

On foreign policy, Zelenskyy was schooled before the Russian attack through a brush with American political scandal, shaping his stance on relations with allies. Just days after his election in 2019, Zelenskyy was confronted with a threat of abandonmen­t of military aid by his country’s most important ally, the United States, if he did not bend to a request from Donald Trump, then the president, and associates to open a politicall­y motivated investigat­ion of Hunter Biden.

Through this episode, which led to Trump’s first impeachmen­t, Zelenskyy began speaking about the need for Ukraine, despite foreign aid dependency, to be a “subject” in talks with allies, not an object of discussion to be pushed around by the internal politics of foreign countries.

“Zelenskyy as a wartime president hasn’t actually changed as a leader,” said Onuch, the co-author of the academic study of his presidency. “Those who are looking for somebody born into leadership on Feb. 24, 2022, need to do their homework.”

A more forceful tone emerged when Zelenskyy thought it necessary — and it became a hallmark of his wartime interactio­n with allied government­s. His relationsh­ip with Western allies has at times grown tense as he pressured them for more aid and resisted suggestion­s from leaders such as Emmanuel Macron of France that he should negotiate a peace deal.

“Ukrainian politician­s have not always spoken up and out about the pressures they face from Western allies, sometimes mistakenly, sometimes naively,” said Volodymyr Yermolenko, the editor-inchief of the multimedia news platform UkraineWor­ld. “If Ukraine is to be treated as an equal, he has to make clear Ukraine’s position.”

Zelenskyy has repeatedly said that he is lucky to be the leader of Ukraine, a nation with a strong tradition of self-organizing and volunteeri­sm.

“My feeling is he is led by the nation, rather than he is the leader of the nation,” said Yermolenko, referring to Zelenskyy’s success in channeling the country’s resilience and anger at Russia. “Zelenskyy is the embodiment of this resistance but not the source.”

Zelenskyy has worked with at least two speechwrit­ers, Yuriy Kostyuk, a former screenwrit­er at his comedic television production company; and Dmytro Lytvyn, a former journalist, Ukrainian news media have reported.

Some speeches wove in elaborate theses on geopolitic­s or were redolent with historical references to wartime leaders of the past, including Winston Churchill; others were simple, poignant reflection­s on the cost of war.

“This is the story of people who lived in Borodyanka,” Zelenskyy said in a speech in May about a Kyiv suburb bombed by the Russian military. They “raised and kissed their children before going to bed and somehow went to sleep and never woke up again.”

 ?? Daniel Berehulak / The New York Times ?? President Joe Biden and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine together Feb. 20 at St. Michael’s Golden-Domed Monastery in Kyiv, Ukraine. In much of the world, Zelenskyy, once brushed off as a political lightweigh­t, has become a household name in his country’s fight against Russia. Zelenskyy, right, addresses members of Congress Dec. 21 in Washington.
Daniel Berehulak / The New York Times President Joe Biden and President Volodymyr Zelenskyy of Ukraine together Feb. 20 at St. Michael’s Golden-Domed Monastery in Kyiv, Ukraine. In much of the world, Zelenskyy, once brushed off as a political lightweigh­t, has become a household name in his country’s fight against Russia. Zelenskyy, right, addresses members of Congress Dec. 21 in Washington.
 ?? Kenny Holston / The New York Times ??
Kenny Holston / The New York Times

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