Albuquerque Journal

Has the climate change migration already begun?

- BY JEFF ROWE ASSOCIATED PRESS

Wildfires, floods and rising seas are giving Americans a foreshadow­ing of what is to come, the author of a new book about the environmen­t says — disruption­s on a near Biblical scale.

In “The Great Displaceme­nt,” Jake Bittle’s reporting strategy was to visit places such as Big Pine Key, Florida (flood) and Santa Rosa, California (fire) and use the natural disasters that overcame them as parables for what looming climate change is going to bring.

Why are people in fire and flood danger areas not moving?

That’s where Bittle diverts into some psychology basics, writing that peoples’ emotional ties to their houses and communitie­s often overrule their fear.

In Long Beach, California, the Belmont Shore peninsula already floods in some high tides and storms and some global warming forecasts show the area underwater in a few decades. So are house prices sagging as people flee in fright?

Just the opposite.

House prices in the low-lying Belmont Shore area rose just shy of 8% last year to a median of $1.3 million, according to realtor.com

Solutions? Bittle often finds government, particular­ly the federal level, at fault for not doing enough.

But much of the danger millions of Americans find themselves is of our own making. We want to live at water’s or forest’s edge; now the day of reckoning is coming “for a society that has attempted to tame the forces of nature,” Bittle writes.

Bittle often ventures into the unfairness of climate change, returning to a theme that “the burden of relocation” will fall most harshly on lower-income people who can least afford to fortify their house or move.

Will it?

Much depends, he writes, on decisions ahead regarding which places to save because for sure we will not have enough resources, for example, to build a sea wall for every beachside community.

While the prognosis for beachside communitie­s is grim, the book notes that some climate-change winners already may be emerging.

Buffalo, New York, for example, is calling itself a “climate refuge city.”

Government policies and programs to encourage people to move from dangerous coastal or fireprone areas to those cities and other towns in the northern central states ought to be considered, Bittle says.

So far though, the housing market appears to be ignoring the growing risk.

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