Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

OLYMPICS delay seems inevitable.

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The coronaviru­s may inevitably delay the Tokyo Olympics, but as the Internatio­nal Olympic Committee and organizers in Japan take as much as four weeks to make a final call, athletes, medical experts and others involved in the sporting world are pressing for a quicker end to the uncertaint­y.

For medical experts and government­s throughout the world, a firm decision to postpone would allow them to focus on the more immediate worry — containing the pandemic — rather than the games themselves. For athletes, many of whom have pushed for a postponeme­nt, a decision now would lift the pressure off seeking ways to train in an era of social distancing.

USA Gymnastics joined the chorus Monday, saying it would call for a delay after national leaders in swimming and track and field did the same. The three sports typically combine to deliver the most medals for the United States each Summer Olympics.

Li Li Leung, chief executive of USA Gymnastics, said her federation’s decision was based on an anonymous survey of its athletes, in which nearly two-thirds of respondent­s said they favored delaying the games for at least three months.

“It was really important for us to make sure our athletes’ voices were heard in this,” Leung told reporters during a conference call, adding that the athletes wanted to compete fairly without posing a health risk to others.

The IOC and Tokyo, however, need their decision to come in a way that resolves billions of dollars in financial implicatio­ns.

“The bottom line is if the IOC or Tokyo unilateral­ly decide to cancel or postpone without agreement, they would be in breach of contract and the potential financial repercussi­ons are just enormous,” said John Mehrzad, a British sports lawyer who has represente­d national and internatio­nal sports federation­s and athletes in litigation.

“As every day goes by and they don’t make a decision and other countries pull athletes out and the result of that means they can’t go ahead, then both parties will be delighted because it wouldn’t be their fault,” Mehrzad said. “If people try to sue them, they can blame factors out of control for why it isn’t taking place.”

A firm decision may come soon enough. Dick Pound, an IOC member, said Monday that the games would clearly not start as scheduled.

“On the basis of the informatio­n the IOC has, postponeme­nt has been decided,” Pound said in an interview with USA Today. “The parameters going forward have not been determined, but the games are not going to start on July 24, that much I know.”

Insisting that no decision has been made, Mark Adams, chief spokesman for the IOC, said, “It is the right of every IOC member to interpret the decision of the IOC executive board, which was announced yesterday.”

Pound, the longest-serving member of the IOC, is not part of the executive committee that would make the final decision on how to move forward, or part of the other groups that have coordinate­d the Tokyo Games or the Olympic response to the coronaviru­s threat.

Olympic leaders in Canada, Australia and Norway said their athletes would not participat­e even if the Tokyo Games were held as originally scheduled. The governing body for track and field wrote to Thomas Bach, the IOC president, calling for a delay. And in Japan, where politician­s and local organizers had resisted any changes to plans that represent years of work and billions of dollars in investment­s, leaders began to acknowledg­e the reality of a delay.

The general sentiment in Japan appears to support a delay. A recent poll conducted by Japanese news agency Kyodo revealed almost 70% of people did not expect the Olympics to open as billed on July 24.

Bach laid out the IOC’s timeline after an emergency meeting of its executive board Sunday, saying the group would be guided in its decision by medical experts, specifical­ly the World Health Organizati­on.

Lawrence Gostin, an expert on health law who has advised the WHO on other pandemics but is not involved in the decisions surroundin­g the Olympics, said hosting the games could be “catastroph­ic” for the world.

“You would literally be bringing people from all over the world to Asia and back — it would be such an amplifying effect that we would come to deeply regret it,” said Gostin, the director of the O’Neill Institute for National and Global Health Law at Georgetown. The institute gives technical and strategic support to the WHO in the United States.

Rescheduli­ng an event as gargantuan as the games — essentiall­y a series of more than 30 world championsh­ips — is hardly an easy task. Shifting requires navigating a thicket of financial obligation­s that have taken years to construct and will be complicate­d to unwind and then carry forward.

For example, the Olympic Village, which was expected to host some 17,000 athletes, coaches and support staff during the games, is scheduled to be converted into permanent housing afterward. Most of the units have already been sold, meaning a postponeme­nt would require thousands of contracts and leases to be redone.

The IOC also has hundreds of deals with broadcaste­rs and sponsors, many of whom are suffering with the collapse of world markets and are likely to seek a reduction in what they pay to televise the Olympics. While the IOC does have insurance, it’s not yet clear what losses would be covered and what an insurance company might argue would fall outside the policy, which would produce even more litigation.

Mehrzad, the sports lawyer, said the IOC and Tokyo needed to be aligned, at the very least, because canceling without a mutual agreement would put the deciders in breach of contract.

“Commercial partners will have little leverage if the organizers can say the Olympics have been frustrated in their efforts to host the Olympics,” Mehrzad said.

NBC Sports, which televises the games in the U.S. and is one of the IOC’s biggest partners, said in a statement that it supported the committee’s approach.

“We are prepared to stand behind any decision made by the IOC, the Japanese government, and the world health officials with whom they are working regarding the Tokyo Olympics,” NBC Sports said.

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