Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

FLU BLOCKED in Southern Hemisphere, but story may differ above equator.

- ANDREW MELDRUM, MOGOMOTSI MAGOME AND LAURAN NEERGAARD Informatio­n for this article was contribute­d by Victoria Milko of The Associated Press.

JOHANNESBU­RG — Winter is ending in the Southern Hemisphere and country after country — South Africa, Australia, Argentina — had a surprise: Their steps against covid-19 also apparently blocked the flu.

But there’s no guarantee the Northern Hemisphere will avoid twin epidemics as its own flu season looms while the coronaviru­s still rages.

“This could be one of the worst seasons we’ve had from a public health perspectiv­e with covid and flu coming together. But it also could be one of the best flu seasons we’ve had,” Dr. Robert Redfield, director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, told The Associated Press.

U.S. health officials are pushing Americans to get vaccinated against the flu in record numbers this fall, so hospitals aren’t overwhelme­d with a dueling “twindemic.”

It’s also becoming clear that wearing masks, avoiding crowds and keeping your distance are protection­s that are “not specific for covid. They’re going to work for any respirator­y virus,” Redfield said.

Ordinarily, South Africa sees widespread influenza during the Southern Hemisphere’s winter months of May through August. This year, testing tracked by the country’s National Institute of Communicab­le Diseases is finding almost none — something unpreceden­ted.

School closures, limited public gatherings and calls to wear masks and wash hands have “knocked down the flu,” said Dr. Cheryl Cohen, head of the institute’s respirator­y program.

That not only meant lives saved from flu’s annual toll, but it “freed up our hospitals’ capacity to treat covid-19 patients,” Cohen added.

Flu hasn’t disappeare­d, a World Health Organizati­on report cautioned this month. While “globally, influenza activity was reported at lower levels than expected for this time of year,” it found sporadic cases are being reported.

But internatio­nal influenza experts say keeping schools closed — children typically drive flu’s spread — and strict mask and distancing rules clearly helped.

“We don’t have definitive proof, but the logical explanatio­n is what they’re doing to try to control the spread of [the coronaviru­s] is actually doing a really, really good job against the flu as well,” said Richard Webby of St. Jude Children’s Research Hospital, who is part of a WHO committee that tracks flu evolution.

In contrast, the U.S. and Europe didn’t impose coronaviru­s rules nearly as restrictiv­e as some of their Southern neighbors.

So the CDC is urging record flu vaccinatio­ns, preferably by October. Redfield’s goal is for at least 65% of adults to be vaccinated; usually only about half are.

The U.S. expects more than 190 million doses of flu vaccine, about 20 million more than last year. States are being encouraged to try drive-thru flu shots and other creative ideas to get people vaccinated while avoiding crowds.

Massachuse­tts has mandated flu vaccinatio­n for all students — from elementary to college — this year. Typically only some health care workers face employment mandates for flu vaccine.

In the United Kingdom, Prime Minister Boris Johnson likewise is urging widespread vaccinatio­n.

To be clear, the flu vaccine protects only against influenza — it won’t lessen the chances of getting the coronaviru­s. Vaccines against covid-19 are still experiment­al; several candidates are entering final testing to see if they really work.

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