Arkansas Democrat-Gazette

Report shows output of oil gaining ground on demand

- STANLEY REED

The Internatio­nal Energy Agency said Tuesday that oil supplies were catching up with demand, potentiall­y easing upward pressure on prices. The agency, which is based in Paris, said the oil market remained “tight by all measures but that a reprieve from the price rally could be on the horizon.”

A drop in oil prices would come as a relief to consumers, who have seen prices at the pump surge over the past year. Home heating bills are also on track to be the highest in years. Higher energy prices ripple through the economy, raising the cost of manufactur­ing and shipping all kinds of goods, and ultimately driving up prices for consumers.

Still, oil supply constraint­s are only one of an array of factors that have pushed inflation to its highest level in decades. Pandemic-driven shifts in work and spending have led to supplychai­n bottleneck­s, labor shortages and other issues around the world, pushing up prices for many items. Many economists, including policymake­rs at the Federal Reserve, expect those forces to recede along with the

The Internatio­nal Energy Agency reported that global production increased by a hefty 1.4 million barrels per day in October, or more than 1% of supplies, and that it expected another 1.5 million barrels a day to come on the market over November and December.

pandemic, but that will take time.

The Internatio­nal Energy Agency reported that global production increased by a hefty 1.4 million barrels per day in October, or more than 1% of supplies, and that it expected another 1.5 million barrels a day to come on the market over November and December.

The report said growth in demand was strengthen­ing as countries including the United States opened their borders for internatio­nal travel, spurring consumptio­n of jet fuel, which has so far lagged other petroleum products.

The forecast could also lend support to the arguments of the oil producers’ group known as OPEC Plus, which in recent meetings has shrugged off requests from the Biden administra­tion to accelerate production increases.

OPEC Plus, which is led by Saudi Arabia and Russia, agreed in July to raise output by a modest 400,000 barrels per day each month. The cartel has expressed concern that bigger increases could result in supplies outstrippi­ng demand next year, potentiall­y causing prices to plummet.

The group has also argued that although oil prices may have risen sharply this year — currently about $82 a barrel for Brent crude, the internatio­nal benchmark, and $81 per barrel for West Texas Intermedia­te, the U.S. standard — the increases have been modest compared with the rocketing prices of other energy, including natural gas and electric power.

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