NFL BETTING TRENDS OVER/UNDER SUPERLATIVES

Just three seasons ago, NFL scoring was at an all-time high. Teams averaged 24.8 points per game in 2020, the most in league history. Last season, however, that number suddenly dropped to 21.9, the lowest since 2017.

There were still teams who were capable of consistently smashing the over, but the under cashed in the vast majority of games. The

Vikings finished with the highest over rate in the

league for the second year in a row, though this time their string of shootouts resulted in a playoff bid. Some teams whose games hit the under at a high rate experienced success, such as the Buccaneers and Ravens, but most missed out on the postseason.

Let’s take a look at the five teams whose

games hit the over the most often last season, and the same for the teams who favor the under. With repeat performers like Minnesota and Denver, this information could be informative for bettors come September.

TEAMS WHOSE GAMES HIT THE OVER MOST OFTEN MINNESOTA VIKINGS

Over/Under Record: 11-6

The Vikings had the eighth-highest-scoring offense (24.9 points per game), and only two defenses allowed more points (25.1 ppg) in 2022, a perfect storm for plenty of points. Seven out of nine games Minnesota played at U.S. Bank Stadium — a dome — hit the over, the highest rate in the league. The Vikings’ highest over/under of the season was set at 51.5 in the two matchups with the Lions, and the over cashed both times. Minnesota’s lowest over/under was 42 against the Saints and Patriots; the over hit with ease in each contest.

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

Over/Under Record: 10-7

Even though the NFC champs had a top-10 scoring defense that held opponents to 20.2 points per game, their offense finished third in scoring at 28.1 points per game and saw to it that the over still hit at a high rate. The over was more frequent at Lincoln Financial Field (6-3) than on the road (4-4) for Philadelphia. The highest regular-season point total for an Eagles game was set at 49.5 in a game against the Vikings, but that turned out to be one of their lowest-scoring games of the year (a 24-7 victory).

CHICAGO BEARS

Over/Under Record: 10-7

The Bears’ offense was well below league average last season, scoring just 19.2 points per game, which ranked in the bottom third of the NFL. Their defense was even worse. Chicago yielded 27.2 points per game to its opponents, the most in the league. The Bears had their fair share of low-scoring games (like a 12-7 loss to the Commanders) that finished well under the 38.5-point over/under, but they also went on a run of seven consecutive overs in the middle of the season. Their Week 8 game against the Cowboys — a 49-29 loss — was one of the highest-scoring games of the season.

DETROIT LIONS

Over/Under Record: 10-7

The Lions were the only team in the league to finish in the top five in scoring and bottom five in points allowed. Detroit’s 26.6 points per game were good for fifth most, but the defense surrendered 25.1 points on average, which tied for third worst. Six of the team’s games had point totals set at 50 or

KIRK COUSINS