Baltimore Sun Sunday

A look at Week 12 games that can help or hurt Ravens

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A week after confusion and uncertaint­y swirled around their season, the Ravens are in a better place: holding on to the AFC’s second and final wild-card berth, with a home game against the double-digit-underdog Oakland Raiders up next.

With a win Sunday, the Ravens (5-5) would keep their distance in the playoff race from the glut of teams nipping at their heels. A loss, however, would knock them from the No. 6 seed and back into the pack. Considerin­g the road tests that still await, that would be an unwelcome developmen­t in Baltimore.

Here’s where they can get some help in Week 12:

With their Week 11 win over the Bengals (5-5), the Ravens avoided having to cede the all-important head-to-head tiebreaker. They’re now ahead in the playoff picture because of their superior division record (2-3). With a loss to the Browns, Cincinnati would fall to 1-3 in AFC North play with games at Cleveland and the Pittsburgh Steelers remaining.

At 7-3, the Chargers are two games ahead of the five-team 5-5 traffic jam in the AFC wild-card race, with most computer projection­s giving them a 90-plus percent chance of making the postseason. The Ravens don’t have to pass the Chargers if they want the No. 5 seed; they just have to catch up to them, record-wise, and win their Week 16 matchup in Los Angeles.

The Ravens play neither 5-5 team this season, meaning a potential tiebreaker would come down to their record in conference play. The Ravens are 5-3 against AFC opponents, while the Dolphins and Colts are 4-3 and 4-4, respective­ly. A Miami win would derail one of the NFL’s hottest teams — Indianapol­is has won four straight — while a Colts win would knock the Dolphins to .500 in AFC play. The former is probably preferable for Ravens fans.

Optimists should root for the Broncos (4-6), as a Steelers loss would give the Ravens an opening to close the gap in the AFC North. Pessimists should root for the Steelers (7-2-1), who have won six straight games and can all but crush Denver’s wild-card hopes with another.

It’s a three-team race in the AFC South between the Texans (7-3), Titans (5-5) and Colts (5-5). A Houston win would drop Tennessee under .500 before the Titans embark on a very manageable three-week stretch, with games against the New York Giants, Jacksonvil­le Jaguars and New York Jets upcoming. Importantl­y, the Ravens already have the head-to-head tiebreaker against Tennessee.

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