13. Miami Dolphins

Regular-season finish: 9-8, AFC East runner-up, No. 7 seed

DVOAprofile: 7th offense, 15th defense, 28th special teams, 8th overall

Odds to win Super Bowl: +6000

Coach Mike McDaniel said he won’t make a decision about Tua Tagovailoa’s availability until he knows the third-year quarterback has completely recovered from his second concussion of the season, and that’s about where things stand with Miami. With Tagovailoa healthy, the offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 25.5 points per game. With seventh-round rookie Skylar Thompson or veteran backup Teddy Bridgewater under center, they’ve averaged just 16.3 points. Wide receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle are capable of torching any secondary, but they need Tagovailoa’s efficiency to thrive. A midseason trade for pass rusher Bradley Chubb has not been enough to boost the defense, either, as Miami has failed to deliver a consistent pass rush.