NE GOP missing in House of Representatives
Once upon a time there were Republicans in New England serving in the U.S. House of Representatives. I know this because in 1996 — the year I lost my attempt for a fourth term in office — the rug was pulled out from GOP members of that institution. We had a New England Democratic wave that was the beginning of a change in politics as we know it in the region.
Today, we have zero Republicans from New England serving in the House.
Just two years before the 1996 elections, New England actually counted nine GOP members. When the dust had settled from the elections, the massacre left only one Republican congressman who had received over 51% of the vote with four members losing their reelection bids.
The main reason for the Democratic landslide was a reversal of typical GOP campaign strategy. This would have been fine if the GOP leaders had communicated this reversal to its candidates running in elections so the latter could have adjusted their individual campaign strategies.
For the last two weeks of the campaign GOP leaders convinced the Dole-Kemp campaign to pull all television commercials in New England. Campaign funds went to California instead. The GOP national campaign therefore went dark in all of New England. President Bill Clinton and his campaign increased their spending in New England, even putting forth a personal ad for my opponent which featured the former president himself.
Why such an approach? GOP leaders felt that possibly the party could pick up some of the 50+ House seats in California with more TV ad spending.
The reason the GOP never did this in past presidential elections was because they anticipated that their presidential candidates were not able to win in California. Thus the 1996 change in strategy was a big waste. All other presidential candidates spent money in states they felt they had a chance of winning. The strategy was misplaced. Dole was not winning California, but the Dole campaign spent millions there instead of attempting to pick off winnable states like those in New
England. The result? All the GOP candidates in New England got clobbered while even those who managed to win struggled.
In 2022 California Rep. Kevin McCarthy (now Speaker) attempted to change the trend. It worked well in New York state and even in California while picking up unexpected Republican victories there. It was a smart move on McCarthy’s part as the 2022 election was more a referendum on President Joe Biden.
With competitive spending on very good candidates even in New England it brought the region close to electing two Republicans to Congress — and both were minorities.
With strong candidates who have election experience, along with strong financial support, I am confident that 2024 will allow New England to break the ice and finally get some Republican representation in the House again. It is much needed.
Gary Franks served three terms as U.S. representative for Connecticut’s 5th District. He was the first Black Republican elected to the House in nearly 60 years and New England’s first Black member of the House. @ GaryFranks/Tribune News Service