Chattanooga Times Free Press

UN report: Human footprint ‘increasing­ly visible’ in climate

- BY KARL RITTER

MARRAKECH, Morocco — Hot and wild and with an “increasing­ly visible human footprint” — that’s how the U.N. weather agency sums up the global climate in the past five years.

In a report released Tuesday at internatio­nal climate talks in Morocco, the World Meteorolog­ical Organizati­on said 20112015 was the hottest fiveyear period on record.

That comes as no surprise, as WMO’s annual reports have showed record average temperatur­es in 2014 and 2015. But the agency said the fiveyear report provides a better overview of warming trends and extreme events such as prolonged droughts and recurrent heatwaves.

“We just had the hottest five-year period on record, with 2015 claiming the title of hottest individual year. Even that record is likely to be beaten in 2016,” said WMO Secretary-General Petteri Taalas.

The WMO’s preliminar­y climate assessment for 2016 is set to be released next week.

While it’s complicate­d to draw links between single weather events and climate change, the report found many extreme events during the period were made more likely as a result of man-made climate change. In the case of some extreme high temperatur­es, the probabilit­y increased by a factor of 10 or more, the report said.

“Examples include the record high seasonal and annual temperatur­es in the United States in 2012 and in Australia in 2013, hot summers in eastern Asia and western Europe in 2013, heatwaves in spring and autumn 2014 in Australia, record annual warmth in Europe in 2014, and a heatwave in Argentina in December 2013,” WMO said.

The report found no strong climate change link for extreme rainfall events. Other highlights: ›

Arctic summer sea ice coverage was 28 percent below the 1981-2010 average, reaching a record low in 2012. By contrast the Antarctic sea ice was above average, especially the winter maximum. ›

Surface melting of the Greenland ice sheet — a contributo­r to rising seas — continued at above-average levels, exceeding the 1981-2010 average in all five years from 2011 to 2015. Mountain glaciers also continued their decline. ›

Snow cover in the northern hemisphere was “well below average” in all five years, continuing a strong downward trend.

Climate scientists who were not involved with the report said it underscore­d the need for government­s to boost efforts to fight climate change beyond their pledges for last year’s landmark Paris Agreement.

“The evidence is overwhelmi­ng,” said Chris Field, director of the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environmen­t. “The new report from WMO is a clarion call for embracing and going beyond the goals of the Paris Agreement.”

The Paris deal calls for keeping global temperatur­e rises below 3.6 degrees Fahrenheit compared with preindustr­ial times. The average temperatur­e in 2015, partly influenced by a powerful El Nino event, was already halfway there.

“Halting global warming at a manageable level, as the world’s nations decided in the Paris Agreement, is now a race against time,” said Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute in Germany.

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