MAGA ATTACKS ARE EARLY GOP ‘24 ALARM
WASHINGTON — Here we go again.
In 2022, Republicans blew a historic opportunity to take back the Senate because, in state after state, they nominated extreme candidates whose only qualification was fealty to former President
Donald Trump.
While positive, forward-looking conservative reformers such as Govs. Ron DeSantis (Fla.), Mike DeWine (Ohio), Chris Sununu (N.H.) and Brian Kemp (Ga.) trounced their Democratic opponents, MAGA
Senate candidates including Herschel Walker (Ga.), Mehmet Oz (Pa.), Don Bolduc (N.H.) and Blake Masters (Ariz.) lost winnable races. Voters’ message could not have been clearer.
So, Republicans learned their lesson, right? Apparently not.
When former Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels, a Republican, announced he was exploring a 2024 bid to succeed Republican Sen. Mike Braun, who is running for governor, Republicans should have been elated. Daniels was a whirlwind of reform in the governor’s mansion. He ended collective bargaining for state employees, privatized Indiana’s toll road, established one of the country’s largest school choice programs for low-income students and created a conservative alternative to Medicaid that gave citizens more control over their health-care choices. He inherited a $700 million deficit but left the state with a $2 billion budget surplus — achieved while he implemented the biggest tax cut in Indiana history.
In other words, Daniels is exactly the kind of bold, thoughtful conservative reformer voters flocked to in 2022. And he was well positioned to win the GOP nomination. A December poll showed him leading Rep. Jim Banks — a Trump loyalist who voted against certifying Joe Biden’s election — by 22 points.
Then came the RINO hunters. The Club for Growth released an ad excoriating Daniels as a tax-and-spend, “old-guard Republican clinging to the old ways of the bad old days.” Donald Trump Jr. tweeted, “The establishment is trying to recruit weak RINO Mitch Daniels” to run for Senate.
It worked. Like Republican Govs. Doug Ducey and Sununu — who both declined Senate runs in 2022 rather than face a barrage of MAGA hate — Daniels decided that life is too short to spend the next two years fending off attacks and distortions of his record from the right. He opted not to run.
If Ducey and Sununu had been their state’s Senate nominees in 2022, instead of Masters and Bolduc, the GOP would probably hold the majority today.
But the anti-Daniels campaign should set off early warning signals: MAGA world is not chastened by its disastrous failures in 2022. And if they are allowed to drive candidates like Daniels out of races across the country, the GOP will jeopardize its best chance in a generation to take back the Senate.
In 2024, Democrats will be defending 23 seats, including three in Trumpwon states (Montana, Ohio and West Virginia) and five (Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin) that Biden won by five points or less. Meanwhile, Republicans will be defending 10 seats, none of which are in Bidenwon states and one (Florida) in a state where DeSantis won re-election by nearly 20 points last year. The Senate is the GOP’s for the taking in 2024 — provided Republicans learn from their 2022 mistakes.
The new chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, Sen. Steve Daines, R-Mont., is wisely not leaving things to chance and has pledged to get involved in contested primaries. “Republicans are sick of losing,” Daines says. “We want to make sure we have candidates that can win general elections.”
He’s 100% correct. As 2022 showed, losing just a couple of winnable races is all it takes to cost Republicans the Senate majority. The GOP needs candidates who can win general elections — candidates such as Mitch Daniels.