THE CHEAT SHEET

Records (overall/ATS): Chiefs 16-2/8-10; Buccaneers 14-5/11-8. Outlook: The Buccaneers have home-field advantage, the revenge factor after a 27-24 loss to the Chiefs in the regular season and, most of all, Tom Brady on their side. Brady alone in a big game makes it tough to bet against the Bucs. But the Chiefs are the defending Super Bowl champions and came through in the clutch on the big stage last year. A red-hot Bucs defensive front, with DT Vita Vea back, vs. a bangedup Chiefs offensive line missing starting OTs Mitchell Schwartz and Eric Fisher is the key matchup. Chiefs coach Andy Reid vs. Brady might be just as big. Reid is in a groove and is 26-4 SU/19-11 ATS after a bye in his career, including 7-1/5-3 in the postseason. But nobody makes you play stupid like Brady in a big game.

Potash’s pick:

Bucs 24, Chiefs 20.

Marc Silverman’s pick:

Chiefs 34, Bucs 23.

David Kaplan’s pick: Bucs 34, Chiefs 29.