Yes, Donald Trump has Black and Latino supporters
Could this be the election that ends the “Latino vote”?
No, I’m not talking about actual voters. I’m talking about theway many of us routinely talk or write about the “Latino vote” or “Hispanic vote” in the sameway thatwe news and opinion workers typically talk about the “Black vote.”
The confusion comes in whenwe invest more of a sense of tribal unity in our racial-ethnic labels than the labels deserve.
Increasingly, that leads to old stereotypes being replaced by new ones that defy reality.
For example, most African Americans share an ancestry in slavery, the Great Migration, the civil rights era and other key historical turning points that shape our political attitudes today.
The term “Hispanic Americans,” like Asian Americans, tries to include a wide range of nationalities and political ancestries.
The folly of those broad categories emerges as they collide with the reality of ethno-surprises such as revealed by exit polling in the latest presidential election.
For example, contrary to widely held expectations— including some of my own— Latino voters did not rise up en masse or with near-unanimity against a president who separated Central American refugee families, dissedMexicans as “rapists,” tossed paper towels to hurricane-ravaged Puerto Ricans and insists thatwe’re “rounding the corner” on a coronavirus pandemic that continues disproportionately to victimize Black and Latino Americans.
Instead, about a third of Latino voters supported Trump, according to exit polls by the AP’s VoteCast, conducted with theNational Opinion Research Center at theUniversity of Chicago, which is about the same Hispanic percentage that Republican candidates have received in other recent presidential races.
Less dramatic but still significant was Trump’s building his Black support to double digits, a first for a Republican candidate since President GeorgeW. Bush in the 1980s. Exit polls by Edison Research for theNational Election Pool found 18% of Black men voted for Trump and 8% of Blackwomen did the same.
Trump fared lesswell in traditionally Democratic Illinois, winning only 5% of the Black vote and 23% of Latinos, according to AP’s VoteCast.
Contrast that with pivotal Florida, where south Florida’s historically conservative Cuban American community has been joined by Venezuelans and other escapees from Latin American unrest. Trump’s campaign focused on their outrage over the idea of Democratic “socialism” and, helped along by some late aid to Puerto Ricans in central Florida, apparently paid off in a state so unpredictable that a one- or-two-point swing is called a “landslide.”
In short, labels like “Black vote” and “Latino vote” can blur our vision to a world’sworth of diversity.
Biden’s campaign seemed sometimes to discover that the hardway.
Remember, for example, when he was questioned sternly by a Black student in a televisedHarrisburg, Pennsylvania, town hall in October as to what he had to offer young Black voters “besides ‘you ain’t Black.’”
Thatwas a reference to Biden’s breathtaking gaffe on Charlamagne Tha God’s “The Breakfast Club” program when he said in a peculiar parting shot, “If you have a problem figuring out whether you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t Black.”
Trumpers eagerly helped that unforced error to go viral, along with Biden’s earlier tough-on-crime positions, as evidence of Democrats’ taking Black voters for granted.
The remarkwas particularly damaging in opening up a generational divide with young Black male voters, a group with whichTrump in his ownway had been making cultural inroads since the 1990s. After hisAtlantic City casinos collapsed along with his creditworthiness onWall Street, Trump cozied up to the prospering hip-hop community, including P Diddy and other rap stars, dozens ofwhomname-checked him in their lyrics as an iconic image of gaudy affluence and swagger.
Years later, we have seen this relationship revived in his dialogues with KanyeWest and Ice Cube, among others who endorsed his “Platinum Plan” for Black American economic development.
Imagine howwell Trump might have done as a candidate if he had started that dialogue earlier.
Labels like “Black vote” and ”Latino vote” can be helpful in understanding group dynamics, but don’t get carried away. As I’ve often said, racial-ethnic communities have a variety of people, many of whomshare conservative and Republican values. Don’t shortchange people today who could provide your margin of victory tomorrow.