Connecticut Post (Sunday)

The Mortgage Professor: Many reasons to refinance

- By Jack Guttentag Jack Guttentag is professor emeritus of finance at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvan­ia.

Should I refinance? This question was posed to me recently through Quora, the question- and- answer website. I did not answer it there because an adequate answer in the short space that Quora likes was impossible. But it made me think about why that was the case, and the result was this article.

“Should I refinance” is what I will call a “contingent question.” Some other examples are:

“Should I retire?”

“Should I trade- in my car?”

“Should I marry Charles?”

Contingent questions are unanswerab­le without more informatio­n provided by the questioner. The interestin­g thing is that in my three other examples, the contingent nature of the question would generally be recognized, so anyone posing any of these questions would include informatio­n that the questioner felt was relevant.

But “should I refinance?” was asked with no additional informatio­n provided. This probably reflects a lack of understand­ing that mortgage refinances have a variety of purposes, and that the success of a refinance depends on a range of factors that vary with the purpose.

1 1 1 Purpose is lower interest cost.

Most borrowers contemplat­ing the refinance of a fixed- rate mortgage want to know whether the financial gain from a lower interest rate more than offsets the refinancin­g costs. This is less important as a motivation than it was a year ago because of the rise in rates. It remains relevant, however, to borrowers with older higher- rate mortgages who for one reason or another did not refinance when rates were at their lowest.

I have three calculator­s on my website directed to this question. They all measure the benefits of a rate- reduction refinance relative to the refinance costs. Calculator 3a is for borrowers who have one mortgage that will be refinanced into another mortgage.

Calculator 3b is for borrowers who have both a first and a second mortgage that will be refinanced into one new mortgage. Calculator 3c is for borrowers who have one mortgage carrying private mortgage insurance and will be refinancin­g into a combinatio­n first and second mortgage without mortgage insurance.

Purpose is to raise cash.

Another reason borrowers refinance is to raise cash. While cash- out refinances are priced higher than ratereduct­ion refinances, this is not in itself a deterrent to the borrower who needs cash.

What matters to that borrower is whether the cost of the cash- out refinance is larger or smaller than the cost of raising the same amount of cash with a second mortgage. Calculator 3d on my site is directed to this question.

Purpose is to reduce the risk of higher rates on an ARM.

Borrowers who have an adjustable rate mortgage ( ARM) and are concerned about rising interest rates have their own reason for considerin­g a refinance. They want to know whether the likely loss from retaining their ARM exceeds the cost of eliminatin­g the risk by refinancin­g into an FRM. Calculator 3e is designed to answer their question.

Purpose is the make rate- reduction refinance possible by paying down the loan balance.

Some borrowers have mortgage interest rates above the current market but they can't refinance at a lower rate because their house value has fallen. They want to know whether paying down the balance on their existing FRM in order to lower the cost of refinancin­g into another FRM would yield a satisfacto­ry rate of return. These are sometimes called “cash- in refinances”. My calculator 3e is designed to answer that question.

Purpose is to eliminate high- cost short- term debt by consolidat­ing it into one or two mortgages.

Borrowers who are burdened with short- term debt may want to know whether it pays to consolidat­e such debt in a cash- out refinance. Calculator 3e is designed to answer their question. If the borrower has only one mortgage, he can use my calculator 1b.

It compares the cost of consolidat­ing the short- term debt in a new and larger first mortgage, or in a second mortgage. Calculator 1c assumes the borrower has two mortgages plus other debt, which can be consolidat­ed with a cash- out refinance or a new second mortgage.

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