ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 2, FOREVER KRZ

FIRST RACE

FUHRIOUS WARRIOR is back after a brief freshening and he’s a strong fit with these on the strength of that last effort/figure; should get enough pace help to set him up for a late run. JOCKEY JILLS DREAM was a neck in front of the top pick in that win two back, and he’s another who stands to benefit from a favorable set up; dull try in that turf race last time easily forgiven. POLYGRAM could be the main speed from his inside post; dangerous if able to get clear but he may have to deal with UNPROBABLE in the opening stages.

SECOND RACE

FOREVER KRZ turned it on late to edge up for the score in his latest and he’s a threat right back as he moves up to face non-winners of three, as that last Beyer gives him strong credibility; should be well positioned behind the speed. LITTLE PAUL has tactical speed but can also rate, and that versatility should enable him to work out a trip regardless of race flow. RODE TO HAPPINESS merits a look off that last Beyer, the best figure of his short career, but it should be noted that he earned it with the benefit of having the race flow in his favor, as he was close-up to the pace in a race where speed held the edge (note the inverted “S” in PP line).

THIRD RACE

RUSHED is in for a tag for the first time and he could be tough to reel in if he’s able to shake loose in the opening stages against the local maiden claimers; layoff a slight concern but given a possible pace edge he’s worth a shot at a square price. DOCTOR LEE has the ability to stay close, and he could get first run at the top pick; could inherit the lead if that rival is unable to last in his first start off the bench. SMART ANSWER closed well in his bow at this same distance but didn’t have as good a finishing kick when stretched out a bit in his last; should appreciate this return to an abbreviated sprint.

FOURTH RACE

MASHUK has some decent back turf figures and though he’s essentially at the same level (bottomlevel claiming non-winners of two) as he was in his latest he could be overlooked some in the wagering, as it does appear to be a rise in class at first glance; barn does well enough with horses back from a break. SUMMER SOLUTION was rained off the turf in his latest but back on the grass he figures to be a contender today, as this is his preferred surface; has the tactical speed to help overcome the wide post. TRISMEN appears to be the one to catch under Morales; a race-long duel cost him in his attest but he’d move way up here if able to set the pace on a loose lead.

FIFTH RACE

ASIAN MOONLADY had traffic trouble in that last run, and a slow start cost her in her other dirt appearance at the meet; should be a late threat today with an alert getaway and a clean trip. YOU’RE MY DESTINY has run 2nd in each of her last three, and she’s going to be favored today, which by definition makes her a bad value play; she is certainly capable of winning, however. MISS ADARA ran deceptively well in defeat on a couple of occasions prior to the decent try in her latest, when 2nd at a big price; expecting her to run back to that one, as opposed to prior tries, which look dull on paper.

SIXTH RACE

GALAXIA made premature moves and tired in both of her two turf tries to date but if she can make a better-timed run she’s a threat to win this; needs some help getting into the race, as she’s on the AE

list, but if she does get to run she has to be considered a top contender off those last two efforts.

HIDE AND STREET was a very game 2nd in her turf bow last time, a performance that makes her an obvious threat right back under the same conditions; likely short price the lone knock. SPUNSATIONAL has had her chances but this may be the weakest field she’s faced to date.

SEVENTH RACE

DIVINE AMBITION was behind SANDRO when these two last met but the latter held a big pace edge, and DIVINE AMBITION was at a disadvantage; he returned with a strong score, complete with a winning figure that’s well above par, and he can turn the tables on SANDRO if he gets a contested pace to chase this time, as expected. IN A SWAGGER, claimed out of each of his last three starts, has steady figures and the ability to work out a trip regardless of how the race flow develops; loves this strip. SANDRO is another making his first start off the claim; he’s at his best when on the lead but he’ll need to avoid a duel with BRONCO JO ENVINNY, and others, to run his best race.

EIGHTH RACE

COACH MOORE was moving well in the very late stages but he was left with too much to do after breaking slowly; should offer some value here but he could be every bit as good as some of the favorites if he can break with the field this time around. HONOR EARNED made the lead with a bid off the turn in his latest but he was unable to last late, run down by the favorite in deep stretch; that effort was a good indication of why he has seven seconds in 18 career starts, and he could be a risky win bet here at a short price. ALWAYS GOT THE HAMMER comes off his best Beyer and he ran well in defeat in his two prior tries on the turf.

NINTH RACE

UNIQUELY CLASSIC pressed the pace in a race which set up well for the closers last time, an effort that’s better than it may look on paper; this looks like a much kinder race flow for her, and she could get brave if able to shake loose in the opening stages. TWO TO ONE was also involved in that pace battle last time but she doesn’t seem to need the lead; could prove dangerous if she rates off the pace and makes one run today. MACY’S HIDEAWAY has some of the better figures in the field and she was a game winner in her latest.

TENTH RACE

BRIDGE OF SIGHS seemed to lack room in her latest and she wasn’t pushed hard in the late stages once obviously beaten; first try, on the grass, wasn’t a great effort but she has room to improve today with the addition of blinkers. ADIOS ASHLEY is stuck on the AE list but she merits a long look if she’s able to scratch in; turned in a decent late kick in her latest, when third in a similar spot. SAENGER didn’t run badly at this level four back; she was on the lead in her latest but she seems to be at her best when she’s able to take back and make one run.