ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 8, HISTORY MADE

FIRST RACE

CELEBRITY STAR is going to be tough to catch as the primary speed in a race that’s otherwise light on pace; down in class for this for her first start off a short layoff but she’s only back to the level of the claim in May. EL OF A CAT rallied nicely in the sprint two back behind a gate-to-wire winner in another paceless race, and she’s clearly easily forgiven for her latest when she refused to break; certainly up against the race flow but she is the main stretch threat. KEY TO THE HIGHWAY could be the 2nd speed in the field, and that should mean she gets first run at the favorite and expected pacesetter.

SECOND RACE

JOKERS QUEEN was off the board when stretched out in her latest but she had a built-in excuse given the fact that she was trying to close in a race lacking speed; better set-up can make all the difference for her today. SPUNSATIONAL is down in class for this, her first start since April, and that makes her a threat as she has some of the better Beyers in the field; obvious concern given the class plunge and the layoff but she’d certainly be no surprise at a relatively short price. HAVE THE FACTS has room to improve if she gets a better race flow than she did in her latest.

THIRD RACE

MOVESLIKE MOLASSES was off the board in his lone start on turf to date but he didn’t get much pace help in that race, where she was very well bet; has a decent late kick and he should get at least some help from the frontrunners in this one. WAKE ME UP AT NOON ships in from Gulfstream and is the one to beat on the strength of those last two Beyers; he’s another who figures to make his presence felt late. PEACH OF A GAL earned a solid Beyer for that maiden win last time, moving up nicely on the surface switch; meets males here but that figure gives her credibility.

FOURTH RACE

FASTER N BLAZES has high speed and could well shake loose and control the pace here, which would be a big edge; has license to move way up given that scenario, especially at this reduced level. LIL MORESUMMERTIME wasn’t close in four starts to date but she has never raced this cheaply and this is not a deep field; needs to stay close in the opening stages. TOUCHET wasn’t badly beaten when in against some of these same rivals in her latest, and she is quick enough to work out a forward trip, an edge if the pace is in fact controlled.

FIFTH RACE

BROAD BLUE LINE is out of a dam who was stakes placed and won three dirt sprints and she produced seven winners, including Bullet From Abroad (11 wins, $267K in earnings); sports a couple of breezes that hint at some early zip. NOMARGINFORERROR is clearly the one to beat upon dropping out of a fast Maiden Special Weight race, where he was a remote 2nd to the favorite; he does figure to be a short price, however, and he’ll need an alert break from the fence. THE TRUMP WAY is the first starter out of the dam, who won her own debut, as a 2-year-old; Lasix for his first start.

SIXTH RACE

STARLA goes long on the main track for the first time, and she may appreciate the added distance, as she was closing well in the late stages last time; broke her maiden in a route, albeit in a turf race. FREAKIN’ ME OUT has been running deceptively well in defeat of late, rallying with some interest, but she figures to be more involved in the open-

ing stages today from her inside post; dangerous if loose. LUCKY CHICA was against the race flow in each of her last two starts and four of her last five starts; major upside given some pace help up front. TUTTI SANNO seems to have a pace advantage in this turf route, as this is clearly a race lacking speed and he has proven early zip; doesn’t usually go this long but a loose lead and mild fractions should make her tough to reel in. SWEET SOUL MUSIC is the main pace foe to the top pick, and perhaps the main threat overall as she has some of the better Beyers in the field; slow start cost her last time. REPEAT REPEAT has the benefit of the rail, and enough early speed to at least stay close, which will be an edge if the pace scenario develops as expected.

EIGHTH RACE

HISTORY MADE closed very strongly in that debut run, and though she goes longer here she is bred for two turns, and the barn excels with horses stretch-out in distance; also note trainer Arnuad Delacour’s record with 2nd-time starters (47%). SHOW CAT also rallied nicely in her first start, and she’s also from a barn which has strong numbers with horses in their 2nd career starts; should be rolling late. COMMENTARY debuts for trainer Christophe Clement, who has better numbers with firsters at this meet than the overall stats would indicate; kin to three winners.

NINTH RACE

MONDAY PIRATE gets back to turf sprinting and this could be his best game, with a win under these circumstances under his belt; comes out a fast sprint on the main track and he should improve here with the switch in surfaces. ROYAL COMMISH was in a tough spot last time, breaking from post 12 and then landing in a race that came up quick; game win and a close-up 4th in his last two tries sprinting on the green. WEST OF EDEN hasn’t won on the turf but he’s run some decent races on this surface; seems at his best when on the lead but he can also rate if need be.

TENTH RACE

MILL HILL PLACE rises in class after handling non-winners of two and three in each of his last two starts but he fits here based on his Beyers as well as his running style, as a plethora of pace in this nightcap could set the table for him to make another late run; also-rans from that last race returned to run 1-2-3 in their next starts.

WORBOTHOR makes his local debut upon shipping in from Canada and he seems well spotted based on his dirt Beyers; should be running late. J

B QUICK has steady figures and the tactical speed to stay close; dangerous if he’s able to sit off a contested pace and make one run.