ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 12, COSMIC LOVE

FIRST RACE

MO SPEED led until about the eighth pole before fading gradually to third over an anti-speed turf course when debuting on Sept. 28. The pricey son of Uncle Mo has worked regularly since, and should take some beating here in another one-mile maiden special. TRICKY MAGICIAN placed in three straight sprints, including a turf stakes, to commence his career, but missed the board in his last two outings in tough route stakes on the lawn. Off his dull debut going short, LUCKY STREET might welcome the stretchout in distance, with blinkers on.

SECOND RACE

MATTHEWS’ ORB rallied inside for fourth while improving his Beyer power at second asking going three-quarters Oct. 20. This seven-furlong maiden special could be ideal for the son of classic winner Orb. THE BOSS FACTOR fought for the lead before weakening to second when beating the top pick in his improved second race. JUST LIKE LARRY was competitive against the likes of Nashtrick, War of Will and Jungle Warrior in his three starts, all on the grass.

THIRD RACE

GOLDEN SPEAR is dropping off a neck loss in a second-level optional claimer, to this much easier optional starter. EMINENT FORCE was shockingly empty in the aforementioned Oct. 20 event, but is being reunited with the rider who was aboard for his best recent performances. The classy millionaire KAIGUN came from off slow fractions to finish a close third behind GORGEOUS KITTEN in his latest.

FOURTH RACE

IF YOU ONLY KNEW disappointed at 5-2 last time for $10K. She would be tough on a duplication of his narrow loss two back for $12.5K, with Carignan replacing the suspended bug Kimura. ATIYA is dropping to a new low while moving out to a route, and is bred for the task at hand. COURTLY DIVA could be the dominant speed under Wilson.

FIFTH RACE

SILENT TANGO is descending from $40K to meet $20K maidens in this turf route, and should make some noise at a square price with Moreno aboard. The third horse from her last race returned to win at this same level with a 59 Beyer. AUDREY GRACE had a wide trip over an inside-biased track when fourth in a recent $20K route on the Tapeta. MAMITA’S CHICA placed in each of her last two outings, on both surfaces. Use her underneath in the exotics, along with CALAIS COVE.

SIXTH RACE

FOREST HALO set slow splits before weakening to third, over a track that hindered speed, when going seven-eighths in her latest. She’s charting unknown territory around two turns, but should be prominent with her tactical speed. LISA’S ESCARPMENT wound up fifth behind the top pick then, ahead of two next-out winners. She was previously in good route form. MACHO BOURBON could dominate the front-end proceedings. The lightly-raced gray is bred to be a late bloomer.

SEVENTH RACE

SILENT RESPECT is hard to go past off her lappedon second last time in a similar spot, which came after she finished third behind the good Zestina in the Passing Mood Stakes. SUBZERO PLUS has been competitive at this level since mid-summer,

and will likely be a speed threat. She’s a must-use on the bottom of vertical wagers, along with the dropping WORLD RIOT and BOOGIE WITH ME. DANCING DOLL prevailed in the front-end battle and the war last out in her fifth start vs. maiden special types. This seven-furlong stakes came up surprisingly light, and she could strike again with her confidence on a high. SOUPER CHARLOTTE rode an inside bias in her gate-to-wire debut victory Oct. 7. She’s worked encouragingly in the interim, and should be dangerous with Lasix added. SI SI TEQUILA benefited from an outside bias when beating N1X opposition Oct. 17. She could have a good trip tracking the speed on the outside.

NINTH RACE

TED W rallied towards the inside to just miss over an outside-favoring track at a notch higher Oct. 17. Hernandez replaces the suspended bug Kimura on the veteran, who’s overdue for a photo session. TOUCH OF DISNEY edged out the top choice for second then after getting stuck in traffic in the stretch. He won his two previous outings under Da Silva. RED FEVER is dropping from optional-starter company, and THREE RING CIRCUS rode the bias when a close fifth behind the top two picks Oct. 17.

TENTH RACE

ICKYMASHO has worked well for her return from a layoff, and deserves top billing in this second-level optional claimer. She was second in her last start in the G3 Trillium behind this year’s probable Canadian champion older female, Gamble’s Ghost. SILHOUETTE raced wide throughout over an inside-biased track when fifth in her last race, from which the runner-up exited to take the G3 Maple Leaf. SPARKLES’ GIRL comes off back-to-back fourths in two restricted stakes. Da Silva is 4 for 13 at the meet for this barn.

ELEVENTH RACE

SPANISH RIVER took the long way home over an inside-favoring track last time when sixth. This third race of his form cycle could be a peak one, and the addition of Wilson is a plus. RUN TO THE BANK came close to ending a long drought most recently when second after racing three-wide. WILLY’S CASTLE and KITTEN’S SOLUTION are candidates for the lower rungs of the exotics.

TWELFTH RACE

COSMIC LOVE was third two back in the important La Lorgnette Stakes, won by Shamrock Rose, who eventually took the G1 BC Filly & Mare Sprint—the fourth horse subsequently captured the G3 Maple Leaf. She was second as the chalk most recently on the grass, and is switching back to the Tapeta here in her third race after a break. HOT CASH rallied wide from off fast fractions for second when favored in an identical spot Oct. 14. POWER EMPIRE figures to pick up some of the pieces, and PERFECTION CAT is another prospect for the minors.