ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Los Alamitos Race Course -

BEST BET: RACE 9, BARTLETT HALL

FIRST RACE

SWAL­LOWS INN GAL has been knock­ing on the door of late. She added blink­ers last time out but didn’t sus­tain her bid so they are re­moved for this, and her 2 prior starts, sans blink­ers, were bet­ter. She might have a tad more tac­ti­cal speed than her main ri­vals K P’S SMOKIN and CEE SAM’S GIRL mean­ing she might get the jump on them. Her lone win came here, too. K P’S SMOKIN made a nice mid-race move vs. $16K N2L foes at this trip at DMR Nov. 15 but then gave way to end up 6th as the 2.40-1 fa­vorite. She’s mired well out­side but has at least shown speed on oc­ca­sion. CEE SAM’S GIRL ran on well for 2nd in a sprint at this level at DMR Nov. 10. Her lone win came on this track at this trip in June. Still, her lack of speed some­times leaves her with a lot to do turn­ing for home.

SEC­OND RACE

SCOUTED had a trou­bled start in his de­but at DMR Nov. 18 but kept to his task well for 4th. He can surely ben­e­fit from that ex­pe­ri­ence and has a good work sine for a trainer who does well 2nd time out. He’s kin to Coach Bob (35-4-5-5, $211K, 3 SPs). SPENDAHOLIC flashed tal­ent in his first 2 starts a few months ago. He’s been given some time since and has worked well, and it’s nice to see no drop for start No. 3. GRANDPA LOUIE de­buts with plenty of works in­clud­ing some brisk ones over this track. LOUD MOUTH de­buts and is kin to 3 mul­ti­ple win­ners.

THIRD RACE

OP­TI­MUM showed am­ple abil­ity when a sharp 2nd at this trip and level at SA Oct. 8. He then pressed a brisk pace be­fore fad­ing to 8th at this game and level at DMR Nov. 11 but can surely bounce back. That speed can have him in it from the start and he has 2 good works since. CAP­TAIN N. BAR­RON has had plenty of chances, yes (13), but if you fo­cus on just his work over this track things look a lot bet­ter. Those 4 good out­ings show this is the place he likes and maybe re­turn­ing here can get that break­through. THE BULL MOUSSE pressed the is­sue in his de­but at this level at DMR Nov. 11 be­fore end­ing up a well-beaten 3rd (7 1/2 lengths). That was an en­cour­ag­ing first run as he still fin­ished well clear of the oth­ers and it won’t take much of a move for­ward to take this.

FOURTH RACE

FROM THE DIS­TANCE may be ready to turn the cor­ner. He du­eled and gave way badly vs. $12,500 N2L foes at SA Nov. 2, but then fared bet­ter for $14K at DMR Nov. 17, set­ting the place be­fore fin­ish­ing 3rd. He drops quite a bit in price and has a smart work since. His lone win came on this track at this trip in the sum­mer. MICHAEL MUNDO looked like a new horse when post­ing a 19-1 up­set over $12,500 N2L foes at SA Oct. 6, but then du­eled and gave way to end up 5th vs. $16K N3L foes there Oct. 27. This drop may get him back on track. LOVE YOUR LIFE con­tin­ues his good form, in­clud­ing a nice 2nd and 3rd on this track at this trip in Septem­ber. He has am­ple speed.

FIFTH RACE

Trainer Bob Baffert has dom­i­nated this race, win­ning 10 times in­clud­ing the last 4 when the event moved to this track. His run may con­tinue here with a cou­ple bul­lets led by IM­PROB­A­BLE. IM­PROB­A­BLE gamely won his de­but at SA Sept. 29, then shipped to CD for the Street Sense on the first day of BC ac­tiv­ity and dom­i­nated the pro­ceed­ings. The $200K son of City Zip has worked well since and the way he drew that day at a mile off hints the added half-fur­long won’t be an is­sue. EX­TRA HOPE looks to spoil the Baffert fun. He was a smash­ing win­ner the only time he tried this dis­tance at SA Oct. 21 be­fore finding the 7f of the G3 Bob Hope at DMR Nov. 17 a bit too sharp. But he kept to his task well and it’s en­cour­ag­ing his HOF trainer, who’s won this twice, takes a shot. Af­ter all, he knew who he’d be run­ning against. MU­CHO GUSTO, the other Baffert, was a smart win­ner of the Bob Hope. He routes for the first time but this $625K pur­chase is a son of Mu­cho Ma­cho Man, who won the G1 BC Clas­sic. SAV­AGERY gave

‘GUSTO a scare when 2nd in the Hope. He races with­out blink­ers for the first time and is bred to go at least this far, be­ing by Bel­lamy Road (17-length win­ner of the G1 Wood). His trainer won this in 2010.

SIXTH RACE

LUCKY STU­DENT looked like a new horse at DMR Nov. 25 when press­ing the is­sue, then go­ing on to blast $8K ri­vals by 5 1/4 lengths. And while Hol­len­dor­fer risked her for $8K that day it’s most en­cour­ag­ing he takes no risk of los­ing her via a claim here, and that Van Dyke stays. GEMINI JOUR­NEY beat the top pick when 2nd at SA Oct. 7 (‘STU­DENT was 4th), won there Nov. 3 when claimed for $8K and was then a ral­ly­ing 3rd vs. more ex­pen­sive at DMR Nov. 23. As with the top pick it’s a good sign they place her in a spot where they can’t lose her via a claim. HERUNBRIDLEDPOWER du­eled and faded to 9th at DMR Nov. 11, but that run came on turf, vs. much tougher and she wasn’t beaten all that far (2 1/2 lengths). She drops, moves back to her best foot­ing and a track she loves.

SEV­ENTH RACE

Baffert hasn’t dom­i­nated this like the Futurity but 4 wins shows he’s done well enough. He may be poised to add to that here with 2 bul­lets, led by MOTHER MOTHER. The daugh­ter of Pioneerof the Nile was des­tined for the G1 BC Ju­ve­nile Fil­lies af­ter her 2nd in the G1 DMR Debu­tante Sept. 1 but a set­back lost her prepa­ra­tion time so the BC was scrapped. Still, she trained well enough to earn a shot at a stakes at CD Oct. 28 (Rags to Riches) and ran well, duel­ing and edg­ing clear to win. It’s most en­cour­ag­ing Baffert wheels her back for this af­ter first say­ing she might go for the G2 Golden Rod there a cou­ple weeks ago. She’s bred to route, too, as this $450K daugh­ter of a mul­ti­ple G1 route SW is also kin to Com­mand­ing Curve, who ran 2nd in the G1 Ky. Derby. VI­BRANCE was 2nd in the G1 Chan­de­lier and then a re­spectable 3rd in the G1 BC Ju­ve­nile Fil­lies so she has qual­ity. Her speed on the rail may play well. CHAS­ING YESTERDAY is Baffert’s other bul­let. She’s won 3 of 4, the only loss be­ing a dull run when she shipped to SAR for the G1 Spin­away and failed to fire. She re­turned to SoCal and bounced back with 2 SWs and is kin to HOY and Triple Crown win­ner Amer­i­can Pharoah. OXY LADY looked su­per blast­ing ri­vals in AQU’s G3 Tempted Nov. 2, her first start with blink­ers. If that’s the real deal she’s scary, but the Beyer was so much bet­ter than what she’d done be­fore you won­der if it was the ex­cep­tion and not the rule. Still, it’s a great sign they sup­ple­mented her for this, ne­ces­si­tat­ing a trip across the coun­try.

EIGHTH RACE

Tough race. KING AB­NER looked like a new horse when sent a mile (this dis­tance) for the first time at DMR Nov. 15 as he blasted Cal-bred op­tional claimers. He must deal with open foes but ob­vi­ously the mile suits, he’s run well here and a re­peat of that type of Beyer makes him scary right back. KYLE­MORE du­eled be­fore end­ing up a well-beaten 3rd in a tough race at this level at SA Nov. 4. He’s worked well since and is reunited with Prat, who was up for his smart starter al­lowance win at DMR Sept. 2. CROA­T­IAN flashed tal­ent for Baffert, beat­ing maid­ens here Sept. 13. He then pressed the is­sue but gave way read­ily to fin­ish 9th in his first start vs. win­ners, at about this level, at SA Oct. 8. He’s been given time since and it’s most en­cour­ag­ing to see strong works and no drop by Baffert, who of course is strong off the bench.

NINTH RACE

BARTLETT HALL has had plenty of chances but 2 of his best out­ings have come in his last 3 starts, and came at this level. He gets blink­ers, there’s no drop and a bul­let work at DMR Nov. 28 may be a sign he’s ready to peak. BIT­TER RING HOME dropped to this level and ran on dirt for the first time at DMR Nov. 16 and ran on de­cently for 3rd, even if well beaten (8 lengths). Could be he’s found his proper level and foot­ing. He’s worked well since, too. STER­LING’S TEM­PLE was a sharp ral­ly­ing 2nd (beaten just a neck) sprint­ing at this level at DMR Aug. 8. He didn’t re­peat that run when fad­ing to 9th for this price there Sept. 3 but was claimed by Vallejo (a su­per 38% off a claim) who fresh­ened him, brings him back for the same price, moved to a route with blink­ers added. SPEND IT has cer­tainly had more than enough chances (22) but 3 2nds (all here) and 8 3rds show he has some abil­ity so he may well break through one of these days, par­tic­u­larly with the re­turn to this track.

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