ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Tampa Bay -

BEST BET: RACE 7, CAUGHT UP IN YOU FIRST RACE

LUNA AZTECA gets back on the main track, which seems to be her pre­ferred sur­face, and this Gulf­stream ship­per has a Beyer edge on the lo­cals; has speed but can also rate. FLASHY PATCH doesn’t win of­ten but she may find the lo­cals more her speed, as she ships down from Wood­bine, first start off the claim, and she has tac­ti­cal speed and the rail. BOBBY’S BDAY GIRL dis­ap­pointed as the fa­vorite when last seen de­spite hav­ing the race flow in her fa­vor but she may ap­pre­ci­ate to­day’s shorter dis­tance.

SEC­OND RACE

BEAR­ING SE­CRETS was against the race flow in sev­eral re­cent losses and she stands to im­prove to­day if she gets a bet­ter set up; makes her lo­cal de­but off a long lay­off but her best re­cent fig­ure came when she re­turned from a break. R SHOW­GIRL went down as a pro­hib­i­tive fa­vorite when last seen, at Gulf­stream, but she clearly fits bet­ter with these based on her Bey­ers; an­other short price looms but she’s cer­tainly ca­pa­ble. BALLIE’S DREAM adds blink­ers in her first start off the bench; proven speed, and she meets a seem­ingly av­er­age field for the class level.

THIRD RACE

CALOGERO stretches back out and may fare bet­ter at this ex­tended dis­tance, as he was ral­ly­ing some in that last sprint and he gal­loped out well past the wire; needs some pace help from the in­side run­ners but he should get it. BIG MA­ROON is an­other who fig­ures to ben­e­fit from more ground; he went two turns at Rem­ing­ton but was in against bet­ter, and he did well to rally last time in a race lack­ing speed. MYSUREWINWILLIAMS de­buts with Lasix; first starter out of an un­raced dam needn’t be much to be a threat first time out.

FOURTH RACE

SUN­SET BEACH is out of a dam who posted her lone win on the main track but her only other run­ner to start, D Train, won on the turf, in his own grass de­but; this geld­ing closed well enough in his de­but and he looms a stretch threat here given a lit­tle help up front. PI­O­NEER MAKER is an­other mak­ing his grass but the class drop should help, as does the fact that he has the tac­ti­cal speed to get po­si­tion from his out­side post; pedi­gree on the dam’s side of­fers few clues as to his likely abil­ity to turf but the sire stats are slightly above av­er­age when it comes to grass run­ners. OVER­LORD is out of Gdan­sk­ing Queen, who three races on the grass, and all three of her starters were mul­ti­ple win­ners on the green; barn ex­cels with this type.

FIFTH RACE

METAL­LIC caught the eye with a late run for the place here two back, an ef­fort that was more vis­ually im­pres­sive than it may seem; tried the turf last time, and though he was no threat the barn has pos­i­tive stats with horses mak­ing this sur­face switch. ATTA BOY HENRY draws in­side, which is a rar­ity for him, and he should be able to use his tac­ti­cal speed to his best ad­van­tage; dan­ger­ous if he is in fact able to shake loose in the open­ing stages. DILET­TANTE is an­other pace can­di­date, emerg­ing from a shorter race at In­di­ana Grand; ob­vi­ous fear if he’s able to run back to that last Beyer.

SIXTH RACE

HUNTERS DREAM hasn’t been out since the maiden score at Gulf­stream back in Au­gust, when he beat BUNSTER, but he seems to land in a de­cent spot for his first start back, es­pe­cially since he fig­ures to be well spot­ted just off the speed from his in­side post; may of­fer a lit­tle value for top-notch jock/trainer com­bi­na­tion. ENGLISH LAUGH­TER

ships in from Fair Grounds and is the one to beat on the strength of that most re­cent Beyer; should get more pace help here than he got in that last one, too. SHAFIRO dons blink­ers for his first start since Novem­ber; not a bad ef­fort in his turf bow last time, and the Beyer puts him in the mix.

SEV­ENTH RACE

CAUGHT UP IN YOU was over­matched in the Sand­piper but she was show­ing late in­ter­est in the back of that field, sug­gest­ing that this class drop is just what she needed; de­cent works in the in­terim add to the ap­peal. AUREA AURA gets back on the main track af­ter flash­ing speed and fad­ing in a turf route, and this sur­face switch is a good an­gle for the barn; ob­vi­ously can be ex­pected to im­prove to­day. MU­SIC AND LYRICS makes her first start for a tag; posted the best Beyer of her short ca­reer when last seen, and she lures Gal­lardo.

EIGHTH RACE

LEMON PRINCESS is eas­ily for­given for that sub­par ef­fort in her lat­est, as she sim­ply proved there that she’s a turf horse; the solid close for the place is fur­ther ev­i­dence of that, and she can make the last run to­day given an hon­est tempo up front. TERRABYTE is the one to beat, an­other who showed in her lat­est that turf is her game; strong score two back at Bel­mont makes her easy to like, and her re­cent works sug­gest she’ll show more to­day than she did on the sloppy main track last time. INI­TI­ATE makes her sea­sonal de­but for trainer Shug McGaughey; seems best when on the lead but she can also take back and make one run if nec­es­sary.

NINTH RACE

GLOBAL NA­TION was forced to stay close early on in a fairly pace­less race last time, the fast early frac­tion notwith­stand­ing; she seems bet­ter suited to tak­ing back off the pace and mak­ing one run, and a re­ver­sion to those tac­tics could mean she takes a big step for­ward to­day. RE­GAL IM­AGE stretches out and switches to dirt for trainer Mike Stid­ham, a pair of solid an­gles for the barn; cer­tainly a threat on that ba­sis alone but she’s also a half to Tiza­que­ena, a Grade 2 stakes win­ner on the grass. HARD­EST PART faded on the syn­thetic main track at Tur­fway last time but she was game in de­feat on the green two back.

TENTH RACE

SEVENTYSEVENWILOW should work out a for­ward trip to­day and that could be an edge if the pace is con­trolled, which seems likely given the rel­a­tive lack of pace in this field; thought he ran de­cep­tively well in that last one, when he made a mid-race, pre­ma­ture bid for the lead. THE SON WIND has the speed to stay rel­a­tively close, and that could give him an edge on the stone closers. DANCIN IN THE HEAT was against the race flow in that last one, when he set­tled for the place as the fa­vorite, but he can re­bound with a for­ward trip to­day; de­cent works in the in­terim.

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