ANAL­Y­SIS

Daily Racing Form National Digital Edition - - Santa Anita -

BEST BET: RACE 9, GRANDPA LOUIE

FIRST RACE

SEA OF LIB­ERTY is be­ing asked a lot, sprint to route and first-time turf for the sec­ond start of his ca­reer. Based on pedi­gree, he should like both. Sired by Bois­ter­ous, he is a sib­ling to a pair of turf win­ners (Run Like the Boss, Steven De­catur). ‘LIB­ERTY ran a lot bet­ter than looked in his de­but. He was off slow, lost ground on the turn, ral­lied and missed by only a neck. He was claimed by trainer John Sadler, who has a long his­tory of suc­cess claim­ing maid­ens. In what looks like a weak maiden-50 turf route, the sec­ond-timer gets the call. CAR­BON ZERO has shown a smidge of abil­ity in re­cent starts against slightly bet­ter. He ran well at this level over this course in Novem­ber. INDY JONES gets a rider switch to Brice Blanc; he will rally late. FROZEN MONEY might be ranked too low by this hand­i­cap­per. He ran okay his first two starts against sim­i­lar. If this race hap­pens to be moved to a wet main track, he cer­tainly is bred for it.

SEC­OND RACE

Seven fur­longs is new for DURANGA, and prob­a­bly within reach for the 5yo mare drop­ping to $12.5k claim­ing. She won 3 of her last 9; this is her first since mov­ing to trainer Pe­ter Miller. She gets in light un­der lead­ing ap­pren­tice Herib­erto Figueroa, DURANGA is the one to beat. BREAK­AWAY DIXIE ships in from Golden Gate for high-per­cent trainer Jonathan Wong; the pres­ence of Joel Rosario fur­ther es­tab­lishes pos­i­tive in­tent. ‘DIXIE is a five-time win­ner, many around two turns. These two-turn spe­cial­ists can be ef­fec­tive cut­ting back to seven fur­longs around one turn. PRINCESS KENDRA merely ran around the track with­out a rally last time, fourth vs. $8k. Claimed off the blah ef­fort, she jumps up in class for a stable on a lit­tle bit of a roll. TWISTED ROSIE is back where she be­longs; IPRAY has the route-to-sprint an­gle. In­ter­est­ing race.

THIRD RACE

BIG SCORE, who raced in 15 straight stakes (win­ning two), gets class re­lief drop­ping to N3X turf mile. ‘SCORE is ar­guably the best fin­isher; he scratched from a G2 last week at nine fur­longs to cut back to a mile against eas­ier. In a race with enough speed to run at, ‘SCORE can sit, wait and blast home late. TRUE VAL­OUR looms an upset can­di­date first since Au­gust. He was a G3 win­ner in Ire­land; he was in tough G2’s last sum­mer. Fresh­ened five months, he drops in class while mak­ing his re­turn for trainer Si­mon Cal­laghan, whose come­back­ers are fir­ing. LAW ABIDIN CIT­I­ZEN might be the speed of the speed, stretch­ing out af­ter a mid­pack fin­ish in a fast-pace sprint. Two turns is a long way for ‘CIT­I­ZEN, but he fin­ished a close third in a sim­i­lar turf mile last sum­mer. Come and catch him? KENJISSTORM set the pace and fin­ished a re­spectable fifth last time in a G2. Eas­ier foes, he adds speed.

FOURTH RACE

SEL­COURT was the top fe­male sprinter last win­ter, two graded stakes wins. This $75k stakes is her first start since tough cir­cum­stances in the Breed­ers’ Cup Filly and Mare Sprint. She was com­pro­mised by the in­side post and hot pace, and fal­tered. First start back, she is the speed of the field and can be long gone first start back. Short price, it ap­pears. WAY TO VER­SAILLES might like this turn­back to a sprint, af­ter com­ing up short in a piar of de­cent routes. All her wins have been sprints, the ques­tion is sur­face. A turf/syn­thetic spe­cial­ist, she is first-time dirt. Pe­ter Miller has had plenty suc­cess with the move. LAKE TIME perked up last time. She won a N2X with a ca­reer-high speed fig­ure. A 5yo mare in peak form, she has an upset chance if she can run two alike. SPRING LILY is sprint­ing on the Santa Anita dirt for the first time since a ca­reer-best per­for­mance a year ago. She is still lightly raced (8 starts, 2 wins), and al­ways showed flashes of above-av­er­age abil­ity. She has

been in a bunch of graded races run­ning long, this is her first sprint stakes run­ning short. She matched her ca­reer-high in her most re­cent start two months ago, and is an­other than en­ters on a con­spic­u­ous up­ward pat­tern.

FIFTH RACE

MY MAN CHUCK­LES re­turns from a short fresh­en­ing while drop­ping into a $40k claim­ing sprint on the down­hill course. He won twice on this lay­out last spring; trainer Richard Bal­tas and jockey Flavien Prat en­tered the week hav­ing teamed to win with 5 of their last 9. The chal­lenge is pace. There does not ap­pear to be much speed in this field, ‘CHUCK­LES is a come-from-be­hin­der. The lack of pace could ben­e­fit CAS­TLE, who po­ten­tially could make the lead in this oth­er­wise pace­less field. He fin­ished an okay third against bet­ter on this course in Novem­ber. BUCKYS PICK, who fin­ished two lengths be­hind the top choice his last start, will be run­ning late. SPIT­FIRE makes his first start since June, while en­tered with the “no-claim” waiver. That usu­ally sig­nals op­ti­mism. CIMPL MAN has run races that put him in the hunt.

SIXTH RACE

FORT­NITE DANCE and R B EYE are the prin­ci­pals in this maiden-30 mile for 3yos. ‘DANCE drops from maiden-80, adds blink­ers and was gelded since his most re­cent start. Al­ready the “fastest” in the field based on figs in turf routes and dirt sprints, he should be tough if he can be as ef­fec­tive in a dirt route. Trainer Paddy Gal­lagher has won with five of his last six maiden-claim­ing fa­vorites (all tracks). R B EYE fin­ished in the money three straight vs. sim­i­lar maiden-30 route types. JONATHANTOQUICK gets a weight break switch­ing to a five-pound ap­pren­tice. He will be grind­ing away late.

SEV­ENTH RACE

TRAPALANDA cuts back to one turn and drops to the first $6,250 claim­ing race of the meet af­ter be­ing com­pro­mised by a wide trip last time rac­ing one mile. He is drawn out­side, quick enough to run short, and in light with the ap­pren­tice. The 4-for14 pro can wear them down from slightly off the pace. LOUDEN’S GRAY drops a notch from $8k claim­ing starter. His re­cent races against bet­ter are okay; he does seem to run his best races here at Santa Anita. DOC CURLIN fig­ures as a con­tender off his re­stricted claim­ing win two back, while MASTER RULER is pure speed and will take them as far as he can. Six fur­longs is a long way for him, how­ever.

EIGHTH RACE

MAYAN WAR­RIOR prob­a­bly could have fin­ished sec­ond last time if not for en­coun­ter­ing trou­ble at the quar­ter pole in a sim­i­lar starter al­lowance. That was a sprint, he stretches to a mile, which is no prob­lem. He fin­ished sec­ond in a turf route two back. He has enough speed to keep the lead­ers in his sights; this race looks like it could un­fold at a tepid clip. BEA’S BOY goes long for the first time. His even-paced sprint style sug­gests two turns is within reach. SALTARIN ran very well both re­cent starts, but both were on turf. It is un­cer­tain if he needs grass for his best, or if he has sim­ply im­proved. He should be run­ning late.

NINTH RACE

The most prob­a­ble win­ner on the card shows up in the fi­nal race of the week. GRANDPA LOUIE ran well fin­ish­ing sec­ond in his de­but af­ter du­el­ing from an in­side post. He was sold pri­vately since, and trans­ferred to trainer Pe­ter Miller. He re­turns in this Cal-bred maiden sprint with a solid work pat­tern at San Luis Rey nd Downs, blink­ers on, light­weight ap­pren­tice aboard, a bet­ter post in the mid­dle of the field and speed to set or press the pace. Color him gone, sec­ond time out. POSTERIZE also ran well his only start. He fin­ished sec­ond two months ago at Del Mar in a sim­i­lar race, and is quick enough to be in­volved in the pace sce­nario. First-time starter ABU­SIVE GARY is a sib­ling to three mul­ti­ple win­ners. The colt’s works look okay. LIEU­TENANT DAN ral­lied wide and fin­ished only a nose be­hind the top choice first out. WILD BEAN makes his ca­reer de­but for trainer David Hof­mans, who won with a pair of first-time starters last week­end.

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