ANALYSIS

BEST BET: RACE 8, KA’NAH

FIRST RACE

First-time starter LENA’S BIG DAY and debut runner-up QUEEN OF POMPEII, both trained by Carla Gaines, merit top billing in this turf sprint for Cal-bred maiden fillies and mare. LENA’S BIG DAY has looked solid in workouts (viewed online); she is bred to win early. Debut runners 3yo and up sired by Mr. Big have won at a 22-percent clip; broodmare Heat Trap finished second by a neck in her debut and the first runner she produced won first out. With the meet’s leading rider, it looks like a “go” for ‘DAY. QUEEN OF POMPEII ran well first out. She was rated fifth on the rail, blocked behind runners on the turn while seemingly full of run, angled out, ran on for second and galloped out well. With a race under her belt, she could move way up second out. CHAO MAR had trouble both starts, she finished with run in both (third, fifth). She will be rolling late. STARSHIP ENDEAVOR flashed improved speed second out, set the pace and finished a respectable fourth. Improving filly a legit threat on the front end.

SECOND RACE

EDA and CENSORSHIP have repeatedly worked in company for Bob Baffert; the debut 2yo fillies look evenly matched. EDA was quicker from the gate their most recent work on Monday (viewed online), her sire Munnings gets a solid rate of 2yo debut winners (15 percent). CENSORSHIP held her own working in company with the top choice, it is a close call which is better. CENSORSHIP was not quick from the gate early this week however, and 2yo progeny of her sire Tonalist won at just an 8 percent clip first out. On the other hand, the dam of CENSORSHIP was a stakes winner at age 2. Close call between this stable’s first 2yo starters of the season. SQUARE FUN, a Cal-bred facing open, finished an okay third in her debut. That race looked like a prep, in which case she should improve. KO OLINA chased a pair of runaway winners her first two starts. She is racing into shape; her speed makes her dangerous.

THIRD RACE

Who will run early with CHASIN MUNNY? The controlling speed could be long gone in this turf sprint stake, despite finishing last his most recent start. That allowance was won by the deep closing favorite, the horse ‘MUNNY dueled with (runner-up Bombard) came back with a decisive win in a G3. This race came up relatively light on sprint speed; ‘MUNNY could shake loose. Long gone? TEXAS WEDGE should vie for favoritism; the graded stakes winner is the class of the field with enough gas to be positioned second behind the top choice. He is trained by Peter Miller, who also trains closer COMMANDER. The latter is in peak form, he is improving, and will be rolling late. TILTED TOWERS ran like a horse that needed the start last out. It was his first in five months. Improvement likely.

FOURTH RACE

BRUTTO got caught four-wide through the turn last out, the ground loss cost him the win. He missed by a neck at odds-on. That was only his second start, he should find a field he can beat soon. First-time starter TULSA TORNADO flashed speed from the gate his most recent recorded gate work June 5. His stakes-winning dam won her career debut; two of her first four foals also won first time out. One element of uncertainty is the June 5 drill by ‘TORNADO was his most recent published work. TRAINER PLEASE set the pace and tired in midstretch in a promising third-place debut. Sharp half-mile workout since then hints at improvement. MAYHEM AND CHAOS has a pattern of long workouts. Expect him to be outrun early,