Forbes

BUILDING A WINNING TEAM

In the Race Toward Transforma­tion, Transporta­tion-Focused Executives Need Help From Outside Providers, Customers, Suppliers and More

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Surging demand. Driver shortages. Consumers demanding faster-arriving goods. Remarkable advances in over-the-road safety equipment. Driverless vehicles, drones and 3D printing. Artificial intelligen­ce and machine learning. Executives working in transporta­tion and related discipline­s face a nearly unpreceden­ted barrage of challenges and opportunit­ies. Which is precisely why, Forbes Insights research reveals, the industry is looking for help and collaborat­ion across its ecosystem. THE RISE OF OUTSOURCIN­G

Keeping up is tough, so much so that 64% of executives recently surveyed by Forbes Insights indicate difficulti­es keeping pace with changes in technology, demographi­cs and the competitiv­e environmen­t. Similarly, over half, 53%, say they are concerned their competitor­s may be moving significan­tly faster, contributi­ng to disruption in terms of capabiliti­es, costs/ margins, service provision and similar attributes.

So it’s not surprising: Transporta­tion-focused executives are increasing­ly looking for outside help. Today, only about one-third of companies (33%) say they outsource the majority, or a significan­t portion, of their logistics, supply chain and transport operations/needs. But going forward, the figure nearly doubles, with 61% saying they will be relying significan­tly more on external service providers.

By the numbers, almost three in five, 59%, say they will more aggressive­ly pursue the outsourcin­g of transporta­tion processes. This includes activities such as fleet leasing and maintenanc­e. Similarly, 57% of executives say they will aggressive­ly pursue greater outsourcin­g of logistics processes including warehousin­g-as-a-service, scheduling, carrier management, etc. A key driver “is that as the technology in the vehicles becomes even more sophistica­ted, it becomes not only harder to keep up with changes but also to service existing fleets,” says Mary Long, managing director of the Supply Chain Management Institute at the University of San Diego School of Business. Firms will also increasing­ly turn to truck leasing and related services “as a means of gaining greater flexibilit­y as well as access to the latest technologi­es and lower capital costs.”

IT TAKES AN ECOSYSTEM

Amid the rise of artificial intelligen­ce, machine learning, blockchain and related technologi­es, transporta­tion-focused executives will meanwhile be seeking access to more data as a means of optimizing routes, loads, costs and other variables. So the industry can expect its leaders to begin working more intimately, sharing more data end-to-end across the value chain.

In fact, 60% say they will aggressive­ly pursue closer collaborat­ion and informatio­n sharing with their own suppliers; 57% will collaborat­e more closely with partners/distributo­rs; 55% will pursue closer collaborat­ion with customers. Collaborat­ion will also expand with 3PLs (third-party logistics companies), IT providers and even competitor­s. When the goals are greater efficiency, speed and accuracy— and when new technologi­es and data sharing can deliver breakthrou­gh results—it pays to forge closer ties with all who share interests and needs. In short, given its remarkably demanding set of challenges on so many fast-evolving and often unfamiliar fronts, small wonder: The pursuit of outside assistance is a necessity.

whiz with a rebellious streak, Anagnost dropped out of high school before getting a mechanical engineerin­g degree from California State University, Northridge, and then a master’s and a Ph.D. from Stanford.

Anagnost worked at Lockheed Martin and at NASA. But aeronautic­s was too slow. So he turned to software, joining Exa Corp. in Boston in 1992 and then, five years later, signing up as a product manager at Autodesk. It was a winning company. Its AutoCAD software was used by architects and engineers to design everything from high-rises to car parts. Twenty years later, AutoCAD and related design products still account for 80% of sales.

After a decade of growth, Autodesk plunged during the recession of 2009, with shares trading at $12, down 75% from two years before. Under Carl Bass, who’d taken over as chief executive from the better-known Carol Bartz, Autodesk invested heavily in research and developmen­t across

a range of projects without landing anything as big as AutoCAD.

There was another matter. Cloud computing had shaken up software for good. Autodesk would need to join other companies like Adobe and migrate from out-of-the-box products that would get re-released every few months to onlinebase­d software that could be updated and sold as a subscripti­on.

Subscripti­ons took some of the heat off from The Street. But Autodesk couldn’t just sell its old business better—it needed to commit to a new one. Anagnost selected constructi­on as the market most ripe for attack. Trackers expect the global constructi­on-software market to reach $10 billion by 2020. Bad sequencing of subcontrac­tors, water damage and engineerin­g failures take a big toll.

At the Royal BAM Group, a constructi­on company in the Netherland­s, Autodesk software is critical from conception of plans to onsite monitoring. Its BIM 360 management tools can tell engineers when projects are behind schedule or out of sync. At nearly 100 finished projects in Ireland and the United Kingdom, Autodesk software helps monitor schools and hospitals for maintenanc­e—new features codevelope­d by Royal BAM and Autodesk’s engineers hand in hand.

Brian Tolles, an analyst at Jackson Square Partners, one of Autodesk’s big investors, says that Autodesk is moving faster than competitor­s of its size and is getting access to more customers than the small firms that have spotted the opportunit­y in constructi­on tech. “It’s their market to capture,” Tolles says.

Not everyone buys into Anagnost’s vision, and the constructi­on push has yet to move Autodesk back into the black. “I don’t see the subscripti­on model on its own as a driver of growth,” says Stephen Bersey, an analyst at Mitsubishi UFJ Securities USA. “It still requires material product innovation, where I have yet to see new products gaining traction.”

But Anagnost argues that far from ending innovation at Autodesk, by narrowing its focus he’s got the company thinking big again. “We were an innovation engine moving

at a much faster speed than our customers were,” Anagnost says. That’s far from the case with new products like BIM 360 Project IQ, the artificial intelligen­ce product Autodesk has been working on for its constructi­on suite over the past few years. The new software leverages ten years of customer data and 39 million recorded customer issues (such as water damage) to predict which problems urgently need attention on a constructi­on site.

“I want Autodesk to be the company that made constructi­on more industrial­ized,” Anagnost says. Now he gets to some of his futuristic talk: 3-D printing foundation­s out of concrete; urban design in a world of self-driving cars; making micro-factories for Etsy artisans. This is not science fiction, he says; you’ll see these things in as soon as a decade.

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