Elon’s New Nemesis

- By Chuck Tannert

Check your rearview mirror, Tesla. Rivian Automotive has a $3 billion war chest from Amazon, Ford and the Saudis, and is revving up production on its electric SUVs and trucks. Now all its 37-year-old founder, R.J. Scaringe, has to do is start building cars and avoid the roadblocks that almost caused Tesla to crash.


IIt’s 8 o’clock on a January morning, and the temperatur­e in Normal, Illinois, just a few hours south of Chicago, is well below freezing. The small pond in front of Rivian Automotive’s assembly plant has turned to ice, the grass is covered with frost and there is snow in the forecast. It’s not much warmer inside the plant. Nearly the entire 2.6 million-square-foot facility is a constructi­on zone, undergoing a massive $750 million renovation to prepare for the end of the year, when it expects to start rolling out batterypow­ered trucks, vans and SUVs. So minor details like heat are not exactly a top priority.

The only finished area—a second floor at the front of the building that overlooks the factory— is where the plant’s previous owner, Mitsubishi, had its executive offices. Back then, access to this floor was restricted to the suits. Now it’s a giant open workspace, accessible to all, with a cafeteria, polished concrete floors and lots of natural light, just like the floor plan at Rivian’s research and design center in Plymouth, Michigan. The concept for both offices was to merge industrial and outdoor aesthetics that mirror the company’s brand—an automaker that builds sustainabl­e vehicles usable in off-road settings. Rivian, which was founded in 2009 but is finally releasing its first vehicle this year, also has operations in San Jose and Irvine, California, where it develops its technology and batteries.

“When we’re done cleaning, painting and installing the equipment,” says Rivian’s 37-yearold founder and CEO, Robert Joseph Scaringe (better known as just R.J.), “we will eventually be able to produce 250,000 vehicles per year by mid-decade.”

Starting an independen­t car company is not easy. Among the roadkill in automotive history are Preston Tucker, who challenged Detroit in the late 1940s, and John DeLorean, who failed to take the Motor City back to the future in the early 1980s. Producing a line of mass-market vehicles in the 21st century is even more difficult than it was for Tucker and DeLorean, and considerab­ly more perilous in the EV category.

With the emergence of Rivian, the electric vehicle market is no longer a one horseless carriage race. Indeed, the 2020s are gearing up to be the decade of the EV. According to research at Oppenheime­r, EVs and plug-in electric hybrids accounted for a mere 2.2 percent of all U.S. vehicles sold in the last quarter of 2019. And only a third of those were purely electric. But that is changing rapidly. While only 5.1 million electric cars were sold worldwide in 2018, that figure is expected to surge throughout the decade—21 million units are projected to be sold in 2020, 98 million in 2025 and 253 million in 2030.

Building a new EV, however, requires investing in cutting-edge research into components like battery packs and powertrain­s. The only company that has been remotely successful is, of course, Tesla—and even it has had a rough go of it.

“We spent a lot of time looking at and understand­ing how different [automakers] were

built,” Scaringe says. “And we spent a lot of time understand­ing the risks associated with how to build and scale a business, and the working capital that’s [required].” Over the past 13 months, he and his team have raised $2.85 billion to fund Rivian’s future. First Amazon (and others) invested $700 million in February 2019. Then Ford ponied up $500 million two months later. Cox Automotive, whose brands include Autotrader and Kelley Blue Book, came through with another $350 million in September. And if that weren’t enough to turbocharg­e Scaringe’s outsized ambitions, just before Christmas Eve, money management behemoth T. Rowe Price led yet another investment round worth more than $1.3 billion.

That early infusion of capital—on top of investment­s of nearly $500 million, including from JIMCO, the investment arm of Abdul Latif Jameel, a Saudi corporatio­n that has bet big on energy and mobility—has given Rivian a valuation just north of $5.5 billion. Scaringe is estimated to own slightly more than 20 percent of the company, making him the latest automotive billionair­e. The funding has also allowed Scaringe to nearly triple the size of Rivian’s workforce, from around 700 in 2018 to more than 2,000 today, which is how he can scale production this year.

The question is: Even with $3 billion, does Rivian have enough to realize Scaringe’s electric dreams?

Until now, it’s been a far smoother road than the one Musk faced with his first vehicle. Tesla raised around $100 million between 2003 and 2008 to produce the Roadster, which was soon abandoned in favor of the Model S, and the Model S required more than $350 million in funding (including a 2010 IPO that valued the company at $1.7 billion). The journey of the Model 3 was particular­ly rocky. Supplychai­n issues and Musk’s desire to completely disrupt the manufactur­ing process led to a two year– plus delay delivering cars to customers and a slew of quality-control issues. The fallout from these problems reportedly cost the EV maker hundreds of millions of dollars. (Tesla did not respond to multiple requests for comment.) The company then took on estimated billions in debt as it scaled its production for the mass market.

So if the mighty Tesla has faced so many detours and potholes, what makes Scaringe think that Rivian, which hasn’t made a single car, can have a smooth ride? He doesn’t. “Things will go wrong,” admits the young CEO. And Scaringe, who comes across like a mild-mannered Clark Kent type com

pared to Musk’s manic Tony Stark, is confident he can overcome any perils or roadblocks. After all, Rivian is built for treacherou­s terrain.

R.J. Scaringe first dreamed of starting his own car company when he was in high school. But unlike most teenage gearheads with the same ambition, Scaringe backed it up by studying engineerin­g. His vision changed in 2007 while attending MIT’s prestigiou­s Sloan Automotive Lab, where he attained a doctorate in mechanical engineerin­g and the skills he would need to build the vehicle he imagined in his head. “As I became increasing­ly aware of how many problems were born out of the automobile—geopolitic­al, climate, air quality and more—it became a huge source of internal conflict for me,” he recalls. So he scrapped his plan for a gas-powered sports car for one that was battery-powered, much like Tesla’s original Roadster.

After graduating with his doctorate in 2009, Scaringe returned home to Melbourne, Florida, where he founded the company that became Rivian. He and his team spent four years developing a speedster-like EV before Scaringe found what he thought was an obvious gap in electric vehicles and one that spoke to his outdoorsy interests—a truck and a luxury SUV.

Scaringe also spent nearly a decade developing its innovative skateboard platform—a chassis that contains the battery pack, suspension, electric motors for propulsion and a computer to control it all. Finally, in November 2018, Rivian unveiled its two prototypes at the Los Angeles Auto Show: The R1S, an electric SUV that seats seven, and the R1T, an electric pickup truck. The so-called “adventure vehicles” look like the love children of a Range Rover—rugged, capable and luxurious—and are packed with the latest amenities such as internet connectivi­ty and a host of driver-assist safety features.

The company expects to deliver an ambitious 20,000 units (combined truck and SUV) in 2021 and 40,000 in 2022, which could translate to approximat­ely $1.4 billion and $2.8 billion, respective­ly, if all goes according to plan. By comparison, Tesla sold 25,000 units of the Model X in 2016, its first full year of release.

Beyond its first two releases, Scaringe says there will be three more vehicles in the Rivian portfolio by 2024. Though he is cautious about providing details, Scaringe admits that one will be smaller in size and all will be considerab­ly lower in price. It’s a strategy akin to what Land Rover does with its Defender and top-of-theline Range Rovers—i.e., the same base model with fewer amenities. And if Scaringe can truly keep the price below $50,000, it will cause far worse headaches for Musk than a broken shatterpro­of window on his Franken-vehicle, the Cybertruck.

Tesla, of course, now dominates the EV market—by one estimate it represents nearly 80% of sales in the United States—and Rivian will face stiff competitio­n in the luxury battery-powered SUV segment from other automakers. The R1S SUV will enter a market in the fall that includes the Mercedes-Benz EQC (starting at $67,900); the Audi e-tron SUV ($74,800); the Jaguar iPace ($69,500); and, of course, the Tesla Model X ($84,990). Other automakers such as Hyundai and Kia will offer more affordable options, such as the Kona EV, starting at $37,190, and Niro EV, starting at $38,500, respective­ly.

Rivian should be without real competitio­n in the truck category, however. Despite Tesla’s highly public debut of the Cybertruck, it’s not expected to be produced until 2022. And both Ford and

General Motors have promised to release electric pickups in the next few years.

“The opportunit­ies [in the EV market] are pretty substantia­l,” says Ed Kim, a market analyst for AutoPacifi­c, an automotive research and consulting firm based in California. If Rivian becomes a threat to Tesla dominance, it could energize the category and set up a true EV rivalry. “Some experts have been predicting this for a while, and I think there are a few key factors happening now that [are leading to further] penetratio­n of the EV,” says Steven Low, a professor of computer science and electrical engineerin­g at Caltech. One is that vehicle range is expanding. Another is the availabili­ty of more charging facilities. And the third element is price.

Rivian claims its R1S and R1T will offer outstandin­g performanc­e, including a range of just over 400 miles, or nearly 75 miles more than any other existing EV. Both will be able to sprint from zero to 60 mph in about three seconds. Above all, Rivian promises genuine off-road capability. Try driving your Tesla on the beach or into the woods.

The company also plans to build out a charging infrastruc­ture, much like Tesla’s Supercharg­ers. “We are developing them in parallel,” Scaringe says. As for the cost, Rivian’s pickup will have a base price around $69,000, and the SUV will be $72,500 (and both come with a federal tax incentive). Scaringe hints that these prices will come down closer to release but wouldn’t reveal a precise figure.

Much will depend on Rivian’s new deep-pocketed partners.

Having built a $3 billion war chest from Amazon, Ford and Cox in a short time is certainly an impressive start for Scaringe, but if Tesla’s history is an example, that won’t be enough funding to scale production to compete with Musk. Then again, those brands see opportunit­y in Rivian that Tesla could never provide.

The partnershi­ps Scaringe forged weren’t just about the cash. In Ford’s case, the two companies will also build an electric vehicle together. “We’re providing the platform,” Scaringe says. “They will provide the body and the interior.” Although Scaringe is reticent in talking about the project, the vehicle will be a luxury SUV with Ford’s Lincoln brand.

Rivian hopes the Ford alliance will allow the company to grow beyond its own consumer electric vehicle offerings. For its part, Ford is seemingly doing it to keep the company’s options open, as it often does, to pursue the best option with which to achieve its electrific­ation goals: 40 electric vehicle models by the end of 2022. Besides the Lincoln with Rivian, Ford is working on the electric Mustang-inspired Mach-E SUV and both a hybrid and all-electric version of the Ford F-150, America’s best-selling vehicle. Ford is also working with Volkswagen to develop EVs on its new EV platform.

Amazon, meanwhile, is looking to Rivian to develop a battery-powered delivery van as part of its pledge to be net-zero carbon across all its businesses by 2040 and use 100 percent renewable energy to power those businesses by 2030.

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 ??  ?? Ride and Seek Rivian’s adventure SUV can accommodat­e seven people, but the company has also filed for a patent to adapt a seat for first responders.
Ride and Seek Rivian’s adventure SUV can accommodat­e seven people, but the company has also filed for a patent to adapt a seat for first responders.

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