Foreign Affairs

Western Hemisphere

- Richard Feinberg

A Small State’s Guide to Influence in World Politics by tom long. Oxford University Press, 2022, 240 pp.

Building on his seminal 2015 work, Latin America Confronts the United States, Long persuasive­ly presses his case that smaller states, with creative leadership, can often successful­ly defend their national interests in contests with bigger ones. He urges his scholarly colleagues to redefine internatio­nal relations studies by stretching beyond the interactio­ns of great powers to focus on the many smaller states that light up the geopolitic­al firmament. Deploying some 20 illustrati­ve country studies, Long outlines the key variables that smaller states must consider in designing winning bargaining strategies: which policy issues matter in dueling countries, the extent of policy divergence between them, and the cohesion among elites in great powers. Smaller polities can be ambitious but must admit the very real constraint­s imposed by asymmetrie­s of power and by global norms and institutio­ns. Long’s success stories in Latin America include Panama gaining control over its canal at the end of the twentieth century and, more recently, El Salvador negotiatin­g with the United States over military facilities and Bolivia bargaining with neighborin­g Brazil over natural gas.

Globalizin­g Patient Capital:

The Political Economy of Chinese Finance in the Americas by stephen b. kaplan. Cambridge University Press, 2021, 390 pp.

Drawing on his academic expertise and his practical experience as a researcher at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Kaplan presents an in-depth, carefully reasoned assessment of the sudden burst in Chinese lending to Latin American government­s. Some critics allege that China surreptiti­ously seeks to lure vulnerable countries into debt traps, but Kaplan emphasizes how Chinese state banks are working to export what they perceive as their successful state-led developmen­t model while creating fresh business opportunit­ies for large state-owned enterprise­s. In contrast to capitalist banking, Chinese lenders offer long-term loans that better fit the developmen­t needs of Latin America; less concerned with the near-term debt repayment capabiliti­es of loan recipients, patient Chinese lenders don’t seek to impose intrusive macroecono­mic conditions on countries. But Chinese banks do seek assurances by demanding collateral in commodity exports and by tying credits to purchases of Chinese industrial products and sometimes even by requiring a Chinese workforce for local projects. Kaplan advises Latin American government­s to push back against Chinese procuremen­t demands, to insist on greater transparen­cy in project contracts, and to mitigate future debt burdens through alternativ­e forms of financing, including direct foreign investment.

Escaping the Governance Trap: Economic Reform in the Northern Triangle by neil shenai. Palgrave Pivot, 2022, 175 pp.

Security and Illegality in Cuba’s Transition to Democracy by vidal romero. Tamesis, 2021, 174 pp.

Two books seek ways to ward off chaos in Central America and the Caribbean. Shenai, a former U.S.Treasury Department official responsibl­e for Central America, has written a thoughtful study of the vexing problems plaguing the countries of the Northern Triangle: El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras. Loyal to his Treasury training, Shenai makes the case for structural economic reforms such as improving tax collection, reducing barriers to legitimate commerce, and expanding the access of citizens to financial instrument­s. If combined with enhanced public-sector accountabi­lity and financial integrity, these economic reforms could lead to virtuous cycles of more rapid economic growth, renewed trust in government institutio­ns, and stronger, more efficaciou­s developmen­t. Recognizin­g that reform-minded forces in Central America confront entrenched vested interests, Shenai calls on the United States—along with Canada, Mexico, and internatio­nal financial institutio­ns—to actively engage when domestic constituen­cies eager for reform gain sway. Shenai’s hopeful policy recommenda­tions are broadly in line with those of the Biden administra­tion’s

“root causes” strategy for reducing immigratio­n from the Northern Triangle. Fixing Central America is a complex generation­al project, and Shenai urges patience even as he recognizes that many politician­s, in the region and in Washington, inevitably search for quick fixes.

Romero, a Mexican political scientist, fears that Cuba, a decaying socialist state, could descend into the gang-infested criminalit­y and corruption that haunt the nearby Northern Triangle. Currently, the Cuban government guarantees public security while tolerating a culture of illegality characteri­zed by petty corruption in the public sector and widespread black markets. Romero imagines a disturbing future wherein an inefficien­t bureaucrat­ic state allows a degree of economic liberaliza­tion only to open the floodgates to internatio­nal criminal organizati­ons; the consequent turmoil prompts popular demands for an even more authoritar­ian government. To escape this nightmare scenario, Romero proposes preemptive measures remarkably similar to those the Biden administra­tion and the internatio­nal community are now urging for the Northern Triangle: enhancing public-sector transparen­cy, combating money laundering, incorporat­ing informal entreprene­urs into the legal economy, and constructi­ng positive, independen­t civic organizati­ons. He adds that Cuba should be admitted to internatio­nal financial institutio­ns to receive assistance in building competitiv­e markets and pursuing progressiv­e governance reform.

Unsettled Land: From Revolution to Republic, the Struggle for Texas by sam w. haynes. Basic Books, 2022, 496 pp.

Haynes delivers a powerful counternar­rative to the traditiona­l foundation­al myths about the defense of the Alamo and the origins of Texas: the shopworn narrative of a heroic American resistance overcoming Mexican despotism. In so doing, he proposes another myth: a pre-independen­ce, Mexico-ruled multicultu­ral province where English speakers, Hispanics, indigenous tribes, and freed Blacks coexisted in relative harmony. For all these groups, apart from white males, independen­ce for Texas in 1836 and then its incorporat­ion into the United States as a state in 1845 resulted not in liberation but in a devastatin­g loss of liberty. Haynes enriches this revisionis­m with the histories of embattled indigenous tribes (some native to the region, others recently arrived), all tragic victims of a purposeful, blood-soaked ethnic cleansing perpetrate­d by whites. Endemic political chaos in Mexico City and an underfunde­d and poorly led Mexican military allowed Texas, with a population of under 100,000 (only some 30,000 of whom were Anglo-Americans), to win independen­ce from Mexico, with a population of some eight million people. Haynes’s riveting tale of the state’s violent, intolerant, color-coded history reverberat­es in the radical politics of today’s increasing­ly radical Texas Republican Party.

Infinite Country: A Novel by patricia engel. Avid Reader Press, 2021, 256 pp.

Engel’s unstated premise is that national borders are artificial, illegitima­te boundaries and that enduring family love and human compassion should outweigh restrictiv­e, often brutal immigratio­n laws. She wraps her worldview in a poignant if at times overwrough­t tale, threaded with Andean mythologie­s, of three generation­s of urban, working-class Colombians who overcome social barriers and personal flaws to finally reunite in their new homeland, the northeaste­rn United States. Burnishing her progressiv­e credential­s, Engel, a dual U.S.-Colombian citizen, insists on leavening her heroes’ achievemen­ts with sharp if familiar criticisms of the depreciate­d American dream. In describing the heartbreak of family separation­s and betrayals across generation­s, Engel’s style lies between the lyricism of the prolific Chilean novelist Isabel Allende and the deeper erudition of the younger Mexican writer Valeria Luiselli. Tellingly, Engel fails to consider the route to redemption suggested, albeit through a form of magical realism, in Disney’s blockbuste­r film Encanto: namely, that internally displaced persons, rather than venture across internatio­nal borders, can find safer havens within their Colombian homeland, rich in natural beauty, community solidarity, and economic opportunit­ies.

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