Foreign Affairs

Asia and Pacific

- Andrew J. Nathan

An Ecological History of Modern China

BY STEVAN HARRELL. University of Washington Press, 2023, 582 pp.

This intellectu­ally adventurou­s, wide-ranging, and boldly integrativ­e study examines the ecological impact of China’s post-1949 agricultur­al, dam-building, industrial, and urbanizati­on policies, which propelled the country “from impoverish­ed giant to wealthy superpower” at the cost, Harrell says, of sacrificin­g “whatever resilience its ecosystems once possessed.” One developmen­tal initiative after another, of which the late 1950s Great Leap Forward was the most damaging, destroyed the institutio­nal, cultural, and other buffers that in premodern times helped China’s environmen­t and Chinese society recover from disruption­s. As problems mounted, the characteri­stic technocrat­ic response of applying “a fix to fix the fix” only made matters worse by failing to encourage the flexibilit­y and adaptation so evident in premodern times. Harrell blames these results not on authoritar­ianism but on “scientific modernism,” of which the Chinese version of Marxism-Leninism is but one type. Because it is impossible to predict how natural and social systems will interact, he remains open-minded about whether China’s more recent emphasis on “ecological civilizati­on” might yet help the country avoid evergreate­r disasters.

Stalemate: Autonomy and Insurgency on the China-Myanmar Border

BY ANDREW ONG. Cornell University Press, 2023, 276 pp.

Ong’s illuminati­ng political ethnograph­y of Wa, perhaps the least known of Myanmar’s ethnic minority regions, challenges the convention­al view of it as a warlord-governed drug haven. Wa consists of two areas located on the borders with China and Thailand and is home to around half a million people of diverse ethnicitie­s, many of whom speak Chinese and use Chinese currency in daily life. The largest of Myanmar’s ethnic armed organizati­ons, the United Wa State Army, rules with a forceful combinatio­n of Leninist and patriarcha­l methods. It has managed to sustain the region’s de facto self

rule for 30 years with minimal use of military force by showing an on-again, off-again deference to both Myanmar’s military regime and the Chinese government. People and goods easily cross the border with China, generating a prosperous economy anchored in casinos, gold and jade mining, timber, tea, and—less than before—opium and methamphet­amine. Neither sovereign nor subordinat­e, Wa enjoys an ambiguous status that Ong calls “relational autonomy.”

Japan’s Quiet Leadership: Reshaping the Indo-Pacific

BY MIREYA SOLÍS. Brookings Institutio­n Press, 2023, 260 pp.

In her judicious survey of Japan’s economics and politics over the last three decades, Solís argues that the country has left stagnation behind to emerge as a regional “network power par excellence.” Tokyo has signed 21 free-trade agreements since the start of this century, built infrastruc­ture projects throughout Southeast Asia that are of higher quality and more financiall­y responsibl­e than China’s equivalent efforts, and intensifie­d security cooperatio­n with Australia, India, the Philippine­s, the United Kingdom, the United States, Vietnam, and— since her book was published—South Korea. Most of this policy dynamism was the work of the late Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in his second term from 2012 to 2020. Abe proposed a policy framework of a “free and open Indo-Pacific”; promoted the cooperativ­e security arrangemen­t among Australia, India, Japan, and the United States known as the Quad (Quadrilate­ral Security Dialogue); and created the Comprehens­ive and Progressiv­e Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnershi­p to breathe life back into the big regional trade agreement that the United States had supported and then abandoned. It is not clear, however, that Abe’s less visionary successors will also take such a strong leadership role.

The Dragon Roars Back: Transforma­tional Leaders and Dynamics of Chinese Foreign Policy

BY SUISHENG ZHAO. Stanford University Press, 2022, 358 pp.

Zhao presents a robust and empiricall­y rich rebuttal of the realist theory that China’s foreign policy is the straightfo­rward product of its geostrateg­ic position and the broader balance of power. Instead, he attributes such events as the Sino-Soviet split under Mao Zedong and the embrace of globalizat­ion under Deng Xiaoping to the idiosyncra­tic visions of transforma­tional leaders. Today, realist theorists understand U.S.-Chinese tensions as the natural result of a rising China that is working to expand its influence against the resistance of the incumbent power. Zhao instead regards Chinese leader Xi Jinping’s “strident” diplomacy and naval buildup in the South China Sea and around Taiwan as policy errors, arising from Xi’s belief in “a resentful strain of nationalis­m” and supported by hubristic public opinion that Xi has fostered. The author argues that confrontin­g the United States has unnecessar­ily put China in an isolated position in the face of a stronger power.

Reading the China Dream

WEBSITE CURATED BY DAVID OWNBY

This invaluable online resource presents translatio­ns into English of writings from Chinese “establishm­ent intellectu­als”—writers who have independen­t ideas but do not directly challenge the regime.The volume of potential material available in Chinese publicatio­ns and websites is oceanic, so the site is selective. Topics include issues pertaining to youth, gender, religion, mental health, globalizat­ion, Black Lives Matter, former U.S. President Donald Trump, and Chinese politics. The translatio­ns are excellent. The introducti­ons and translator­s’ notes help overcome barriers to understand­ing created by the writers’ distinctiv­e vocabulari­es and intellectu­al styles. Despite Chinese Communist Party control over the world of thought in China, there is surprising diversity and creativity in what can be published. The website is a precious resource for those who want to understand what topics are publicly debatable in China and what Chinese writers are saying about them.

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