Hamilton Journal News

Companies fall short of job forecast

Many economists expect improvemen­t as virus concerns ease.

- By Olivia Rockeman Bloomberg News

The number of employees at U.S. businesses rose in February by less than expected, underscori­ng the labor market’s struggle to recover despite a decline in COVID19 infections in recent weeks.

Company payrolls rose by 117,000 during the month, according to ADP Research Institute data released Wednesday. The median projection in a Bloomberg survey of economists called for an increase of 205,000. The prior month was revised up to a 195,000 advance.

The figures suggest that employment gains continue to be held back by pandemic-related constraint­s on businesses and economic activity. Even so, many economists expect a meaningful improvemen­t in the labor market in the coming months as COVID-19 vaccinatio­ns pick up and virus concerns ease.

“The labor market continues to post a sluggish recovery across the board,” said Nela Richardson, ADP’s chief economist. “We’re seeing large-sized companies increasing­ly feeling the effects of COVID-19, while job growth in the goods producing sector pauses.”

The ADP data mirrored a Federal Reserve survey Wednesday of U.S. business conditions that found that economic activity was expanding at a modest pace in February.

The Fed survey noted that consumer spending and auto sales were mixed, while overall manufactur­ing showed moderate gains despite supply-side constraint­s.

Lawmakersa­rewatching­thelabor market as they consider another stimulus bill. President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion relief package — which includes an extension of federal jobless benefits — passed the House of Representa­tives on Saturday and the Senate is expected to vote on the legislatio­n as soon as this week.

The data precede Friday’s monthly jobs report from the

Labor Department, which is forecast to show that private payrolls increased by 200,000 in February, following a gain of just 6,000 in the prior month.

The gain in employment was led by services, which rose by 131,000, the ADP data showed. Payrolls at goods-producing businesses, meanwhile, decreased by 14,000, led by manufactur­ing.

The overall increase was concentrat­ed in medium-size businesses. ADP’s payroll data represent firms employing nearly 26 million U.S. workers.

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