Hartford Courant

Conspiracy theorizing goes off rails

- Paul Krugman Krugman is a columnist for The New York Times.

On Feb. 3 a train carrying hazardous materials derailed in East Palestine, Ohio. Some of the contents immediatel­y caught fire. Three days later authoritie­s released and burned off additional material from five tankers. These fires caused elevated levels of harmful chemicals in the local air, although the Environmen­tal Protection Agency says that the pollution wasn’t severe enough to cause long-term health damage.

Train derailment­s are actually fairly common, but you can see how this one might become a political issue. After all, the Obama administra­tion tried to improve rail safety, for example by requiring superior modern brakes on high-hazard trains, and then the Trump administra­tion reversed these regulation­s. As it happens, these regulation­s probably wouldn’t have prevented the Ohio derailment because they were too narrow to have covered this particular train. Still, the events in East Palestine would seem, on the face of it, to strengthen the progressiv­e case for stronger regulation of industry and hurt the conservati­ve case against regulation.

Instead, however, the right is on the attack, claiming that blame for the disaster in Ohio rests on the Biden administra­tion, which it says doesn’t care about or is even actively hostile to white people.

This is vile. It’s also amazing. As far as I can tell, right-wing commentato­rs have just invented a whole new class of conspiracy theory, one that doesn’t even try to explain how the alleged conspiracy is supposed to work.

Conspiracy theories generally come in two forms: those that involve a small, powerful cabal and those that require that thousands of people be colluding to hide the truth.

Historical­ly, theories about powerful cabals have often been tied to antisemiti­sm, to the belief that the Elders of Zion and/or the Rothschild­s were shaping history — a view promoted by some actually powerful people, including Henry Ford. These days, however, the most prominent example is

Qanon, with its claim that a secret ring of pedophiles controls the U.S. government. And at this point, of course, Qanon adherents hold significan­t power within the House Republican caucus.

The thing about secret-cabal theories is that while they’re generally absurd, they’re hard to definitive­ly disprove. Is President Joe Biden actually a shape-shifting alien lizard? The White House physician will tell you no, but how do you know that he isn’t a lizard, too?

The other kind of conspiracy theory, by contrast, seems as if it would be easy to disprove, because thousands of people would have to be in on the plot, without a single one breaking ranks. A prime example, still highly influentia­l on the right, is the assertion that climate change is a hoax. To believe that, you have to claim that thousands of scientists are colluding to falsify the evidence. But that hasn’t stopped the belief that climate change isn’t real from being widespread, maybe even dominant, on the U.S. political right.

The Big Lie about the “stolen” 2020 election would seem to fall into the same category, requiring malfeasanc­e by election

officials across the country. Yet a large majority of Republican­s told pollsters that they didn’t believe Biden actually won.

And there’s a new conspiracy theory in town: the claim that the war in Ukraine isn’t really happening, that it’s some kind of fake. Who could possibly believe that all the reporting, all the film footage is concocted? Well, Donald Trump’s first national security adviser is apparently now a Ukraine war truther, and I won’t be surprised if we start to hear this from many people on the right.

But the conspiracy theorizing about the Ohio derailment takes it to a whole other level. When Tucker Carlson suggests that this happened because East Palestine is a rural white community, with another

Fox News host going so far as to say that the Biden administra­tion is “spilling toxic chemicals on poor white people,” how is this even supposed to have worked? How did Biden officials engineer a derailment by a private-sector train company, running on privately owned track, which lobbied against stronger safety regulation­s?

The administra­tion also hasn’t stinted on disaster aid. Multiple federal agencies

quickly arrived on the scene, and Ohio’s Republican governor says of the federal response, “I don’t have complaints … we’re getting the help that we need.”

But never mind. Something bad happened to conservati­ve white people, so surely woke progressiv­es must have been responsibl­e.

Given what we’ve learned about how Fox handled claims of a stolen election — feeding the Big Lie in public while mocking it in private — it’s a good bet that the network and other right-wing commentato­rs know perfectly well that their accusation­s about the derailment are junk. But they know their audience, and probably believe that it’s good business to propound racist conspiracy theories even if they make no logical sense.

Of course, it does no good to appeal to the right’s better nature. But let me make a plea to mainstream media: Please don’t report on this as if there were an actual controvers­y about who’s responsibl­e for the East Palestine disaster.

 ?? GENE J. PUSKAR/AP ?? A skateboard­er passes a mural Feb. 15 in downtown East Palestine, Ohio, the site of a toxic freight train derailment.
GENE J. PUSKAR/AP A skateboard­er passes a mural Feb. 15 in downtown East Palestine, Ohio, the site of a toxic freight train derailment.
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