Eight reasons why Biden will defeat Trump again
As we gear up for a rough-and-tumble general election, once again the conventional wisdom taking hold is not so wise. Pundits are laser-focused on polls showing former President Donald Trump beating President Joe Biden, progressive columnists are calling on Biden to drop out because he is too old and normally rational Democrats are wetting the bed – nervous as hell that Biden is going to lose.
So why do I feel we are in a much stronger position than the conventional wisdom would have us believe? Let’s look at eight reasons.
Dobbs decision: Ever since Roe v. Wade was struck down, Democrats have been overperforming in most special elections, even ones in deep red states. This demonstrates the current strength of the Democratic Party, which will be critical for a Biden win in November.
Money: Recently, the Biden campaign announced a record haul of $132 million with a hefty amount of cash on hand. Compare that to the Republican National Committee: its chairwoman just stepped down because of the party’s fundraising woes, or maybe because she ran afoul of what Liz Cheney rightly calls the “cult of personality” in the Trump era.
Republican leadership: From the moment Kevin McCarthy was elected House speaker, the Republicans have been in a tailspin and don’t know which way is up. They can’t lead, negotiate, compromise or solve any issue of import to the American people. After McCarthy’s ouster, House Speaker Mike Johnson can’t go to the bathroom without permission from Trump.
The polls: Most independent, non-Republicanleaning polls have Biden and Trump in a tight race, and some show Biden slightly ahead. But the coverage is breathless when there is an outlier poll that shows Trump way ahead of Biden. Joe Biden beat Donald Trump once. He can do it again.
The vice presidency: MAGA extremists love to use Vice President Kamala Harris as fodder to attack Biden. Easy to say before we see what horror show Trump will choose.
The MAGA agenda: The latest demonstration that the MAGA movement is out of touch with American families is the Alabama Supreme Court designating an embryo as a person. Even Republicans see the flashing red warning signs of the political repercussions of this idiosyncratic and out-of-touch decision.
Trump’s weaknesses: Nikki Haley insists that Trump cannot beat Biden and that is why she stayed in the race. And while Trump had beaten her unequivocally in every primary, there are glaring warning signs that up to 40% of voters in some states do not support Trump and will not vote for him in November.
The contrast: The stark difference between the candidates will win the day for Democrats.
When it comes down to the decision of who should lead this country, Americans are smart and decent. Most will not vote for a fraudster with 91 criminal charges who is an adjudicated sex offender, an insurrectionist, a xenophobe and anti-immigrant – and a wannabe dictator who is in it for self-aggrandizement and to stay out of prison.
They will vote for a decent, empathetic, successful president who has shown he is committed to working, governing and solving problems in a bipartisan fashion and putting the needs of the American people first.
Maria Cardona is a Democratic strategist, a CNN and CNN Español political commentator and a principal at the Dewey Square Group. This column was provided by RealClearWire.