What if the U.S. mirrored Texas?
Despite his New York roots, if President Donald Trump has shown an affinity for the economic policies of any one state in particular, it would be low-tax, antiregulation Texas. He’s also displayed a certain weakness for Texans in picking his Cabinet, with former Exxon Mobil CEO Rex Tillerson and former Gov. Rick Perry holding prominent roles. And Texas’ leaders, too, now fancy themselves as something of a model for the rest of the country.
“@GregAbbott_TX and I know that #Texas is great,” Perry tweeted from the Oval Office with Trump and Gov. Greg Abbott. “Together, we’re pitching in with @POTUS to #MakeAmericaGreatAgain.”
Well, what would America look like if it were to become more like Texas? In some ways it’s impossible; most of the rest of the U.S. isn’t endowed with vast reserves of oil and gas or a long border with Mexico, among other big differences. But as a thought experiment, we can extrapolate from some vital statistics to get a rough idea. Here are a few figures, if the U.S. had the same rates as Texas:
• 23.8 million more people would lack health insurance.
• 7.8 million more people would be living in poverty.
• 2.5 million more people would be in the labor force — i.e., working or looking for work .
• The median American family would make $3,294 less in income per year.
• 1.2 million fewer households would be getting cash assistance and 268,000 more households would be receiving food stamps.
• America’s public school students would score better on math and science tests but not as well on reading and writing tests if they performed like Texas’ students.
• About 140,000 more teenage girls would have had babies in 2014 if America had the same teen birth rate as Texas did, and a few hundred fewer babies would have died if America had the same infant mortality rate as Texas did.
• There would be about 355,000 more people in prisons if the U.S. had the same imprisonment rate.
I could go on. The point is, making America look more like Texas would change the country in a few positive ways — but also a number of negative ways as well.