Houston Chronicle Sunday

Britain warns Iran of ‘serious consequenc­es’

Clash comes as government is crippled by leadership contest

- By David D. Kirkpatric­k and Stephen Castle

LONDON — Britain on Saturday threatened Iran with “serious consequenc­es” for seizing a Britishown­ed oil tanker the previous evening as the government warned ships to avoid the crucial shipping lanes of the Strait of Hormuz.

The British government said in a statement after an emergency meeting that it had “advised U.K. shipping to stay out of the area for an interim period.”

The crisis has caught Britain at a singularly vulnerable moment. Prime Minister Theresa May is expected to resign on Wednesday. A leadership contest within the governing Conservati­ve Party to determine her successor has all but paralyzed the government. And now the uncertaint­y about Britain’s internal direction is compoundin­g the problem of forming a response to Iran’s seizure of

the tanker.

The British defense minister, Penny Mordaunt, said in a television interview on Saturday that the ship had been intercepte­d in Omani, not Iranian, waters and called the seizure “a hostile act.” By Saturday afternoon, Britain had summoned the Iranian ambassador to register its protest, and a second emergency Cabinet meeting was set to begin.

The capture of the tanker — two weeks after British forces impounded an Iranian tanker near Gibraltar — sharply escalates a crisis between Iran and the West after three months of rising tensions that last month brought the United States within minutes of a military strike against targets in Iran. A fifth of the world’s crude oil supply is shipped from the Persian Gulf through the narrow Strait of Hormuz off the coast of Iran, and oil prices spiked sharply on Friday even before the British warning.

But the next moves in the showdown over the tanker are likely to turn on the outcome of the British leadership contest, and the favorite, Boris Johnson, a flamboyant former mayor of London and former foreign minister, is famously unpredicta­ble.

He has said during his campaign that he stands with the other European powers in their wish to avoid a confrontat­ion with Iran. But Johnson has also risen through his party railing against Europe and has sought closer ties to President Donald Trump, who set the current cycle of confrontat­ion in motion by attempting to squeeze Iran into renegotiat­ing a 2015 nuclear accord with world powers.

That has increased speculatio­n that the clash over the tanker may move Britain out of its current opposition to Trump over his feud with Iran. Britain has so far stood with the other European powers seeking to defy the president and preserve the accord.

“There has to come a moment where the British government, and maybe France and Germany ask, ‘Is it really worth fighting Trump on all these fronts?’ ” said Robin Niblett, director of Chatham House, a London research institute.

23 crew members held

Setting the stage for a prolonged standoff, Iranian news agencies reported on Saturday that all 23 crew members of the British-flagged tanker would be held onboard in Iran’s Bandar Abbas Port during a criminal investigat­ion of the ship’s actions.

None of the crew members is British or American. Iranian news agencies said their nationalit­ies included Russian, Latvian and Filipino, and 18, including the ship’s captain, were Indian.

A spokesman for the Indian Ministry of External Affairs said it had contacted Iran “to secure the early release and repatriati­on of Indian nationals,” the Indian newspaper the Hindu reported.

Iran’s powerful Guardian Council, which oversees major foreign policy decisions, sought on Saturday to justify the seizure as “reciprocal action” after British forces had impounded the Iranian tanker near Gibraltar.

“The rule of reciprocal action is well known in internatio­nal law,” the spokesman, Abbas Ali Kadkhodaei, said, according to the semioffici­al Fars news agency.

But other Iranian authoritie­s on Saturday added other rationales for the seizure of the ship, saying for the first time that the vessel had been involved in an accident with an Iranian fishing boat and that the tanker had ignored distress calls.

The Revolution­ary Guard, which is in charge of Iranian naval activities in the Persian Gulf, had said on Friday that it had seized the ship for deviating from traffic patterns and polluting the waters. The Revolution­ary Guard had not mentioned a fishing boat.

Stena Bulk, the owner of the ship, Stena Impero, said the tanker had been in “full compliance with all navigation and internatio­nal regulation­s” when it was intercepte­d.

In Washington on Friday, Trump called Iran “nothing but trouble.”

“We’ll be working with the U.K.,” Trump told reporters on the South Lawn of the White House. Referring in vague terms to the close American alliance with Britain, he added, “We have no written agreement, but I think we have an agreement that is long-standing.”

U.S. Central Command, which oversees Middle East military operations, repeated in a statement late Friday that it was working on a “multinatio­nal effort” under the name Operation Sentinel to police the shipping routes.

The operation “will enable nations to provide escort to their flagged vessels while taking advantage of the cooperatio­n of participat­ing nations for coordinati­on and enhanced maritime domain awareness and surveillan­ce,” the statement said.

But it emphasized that Washington would not shoulder the burden alone: “While the United States has committed to supporting this initiative, contributi­ons and leadership from regional and internatio­nal partners will be required to succeed.”

Accord’s end spurs pushback

France in a statement on Saturday called on Iran to respect “the principle of freedom of shipping in the Gulf.” Germany strongly condemned Iran’s actions as “unjustifia­ble.”

“Another regional escalation would be very dangerous” and “undermine all ongoing efforts to find a way out of the current crisis,” the German government warned in a statement.

The back-and-forth between Iran and the West has already included the imposition of sweeping new U.S. economic sanctions. Iran has responded with the calibrated resumption of an Iranian nuclear energy program that the West fears might lead to a nuclear bomb. The United States and Britain have accused Iran of sabotaging six tankers in a tacit threat to Gulf shipping routes. The United States and Iran have each said it had shot down an unpiloted surveillan­ce drone flown by the other side.

In a reminder that each minor collision risks the explosion of a more violent confrontat­ion, Trump last month ordered a missile strike in retaliatio­n for the Iranian downing of the American drone. He ultimately called the strike off only minutes before the launch.

At the core of the confrontat­ion with the West is the Trump administra­tion’s attempt to rip up and renegotiat­e the 2015 accord, which the United States and other world powers had reached with Iran to limit its nuclear program in exchange for relief from economic sanctions.

Having pulled the United States out of the deal last year, the Trump administra­tion added comprehens­ive sanctions in May that were intended to block all of Iran’s oil exports, the lifeblood of its economy. Iranian officials denounced the new penalties as “economic warfare.”

Iran has sought to push back against all the major powers, forcing them to feel some cost for their effective default on the promises of the 2015 accord as a result of Trump’s sanctions.

If Britain joins the United States in reimposing sanctions on Iran, that would all but snuff out any hope of saving the 2015 accord.

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