Houston Chronicle Sunday

Trump, health officials at odds over response

Debate raged on what to say about outbreak

- By Michael D. Shear, Sheri Fink and Noah Weiland Response continues on A22

WASHINGTON — After weeks of conflictin­g signals from the Trump administra­tion about the coronaviru­s, the government’s top health officials decided late last month that when President Donald Trump returned from a trip to India, they would tell him they had to be more blunt about the dangers of the outbreak.

If he approved, they would level with the public.

But Dr. Nancy Messonnier, director of the National Center for Immunizati­on and Respirator­y Diseases at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, got a day ahead of the plan. At noon Feb. 25, just as Trump was boarding Air Force One in New Delhi for his flight home, she told reporters on a conference call that life in the United States was about to change.

“The disruption to everyday

life might be severe,” she said. Schools might have to close, conference­s could be canceled, businesses might make employees work from home. She had told her own children, she said, to prepare for “significan­t disruption to our lives.”

The stock market plummeted, cable news blared apocalypti­c headlines and by the time Trump landed at Joint Base Andrews early the next morning, his critics were accusing him of sowing confusion on an issue of life or death.

The president immediatel­y got on the phone with Alex Azar, his secretary of health and human services. That call scared people, he shouted, referring to Messonnier’s warnings. “Are we at the point that we will have to start closing schools?” the president added, alarmed, according to an official who heard about the call.

To health officials, the message needed to change with the outbreak. “The epicenter was shifting” as the number of cases outside China surpassed those inside, said Dr. Anne Schuchat, principal deputy director of the CDC. “The issue of what this might mean to us became more important.”

From the beginning, the Trump administra­tion’s attempts to forestall an outbreak of a virus now spreading rapidly across the globe was marked by a raging internal debate about how far to go in telling Americans the truth. Even as the government’s scientists and leading health experts raised the alarm early and pushed for aggressive action, they faced resistance and doubt at the White House — especially from the president — about spooking financial markets and inciting panic.

“It’s going to all work out,” Trump said as recently as Thursday night. “Everybody has to be calm. It’s going to work out.”

Struggling for balance

Health experts say that telling people to remain calm is an effective message in an epidemic, and it is appropriat­e that it come from the president. Clear, honest communicat­ion is also crucial, and the United States has at times criticized China and other government­s for being less than transparen­t.

But from Trump’s first comments on the virus in January to his rambling remarks at the CDC on Friday, health experts say the administra­tion has struggled to strike an effective balance between encouragin­g calm, providing key informatio­n and leading an assertive response. The confused signals from the Trump administra­tion, they say, left Americans unprepared for a public health crisis and delayed their understand­ing of a virus that has reached at least 28 states, infected more than 300 people and killed at least 19.

Azar was at his home in Bethesda, Md., on Jan. 3, when Dr. Robert Redfield, the CDC’s director, called to tell him China had potentiall­y discovered a new coronaviru­s. Azar, a former pharmaceut­ical executive who helped manage the response to earlier SARS and anthrax outbreaks, told his chief of staff to make sure that the National Security Council was aware.

This is a very big deal, Azar told him.

The Trump administra­tion had eliminated the global health unit that had been part of the National Security Council, but within days, a team was meeting daily in the basement of the West Wing, pleading with Chinese officials to allow doctors from the CDC into their country.

For weeks, the Chinese refused offers of public health cooperatio­n.

On Jan. 18, a day after the CDC dispatched 100 people to three American airports to screen travelers coming from Wuhan, China, Azar made his first call to Trump about the virus, dialing him directly at Mar-a-Lago, his Florida estate. The president insisted on talking about e-cigarettes first, but Azar steered him to the virus.

Four days later, during a twoday trip to the World Economic Forum in Switzerlan­d, the president chose to focus on the positive. “We have it under control,” he said. “It’s going to be just fine.”

By the end of January, the virus was veering out of control in China, the source of 23,000 visitors to the United States each day. Any one of them could be the trigger for a new and undetected American outbreak.

Over four days in the White House Situation Room, the nation’s top public health and national security officials engaged in a fierce debate over whether to take the extraordin­ary step of banning travel from China.

Public health officials were initially wary. Experts have long recommende­d against restrictin­g travel during outbreaks, arguing that it is often ineffectiv­e and can stymie the response by limiting the movements of doctors and other health profession­als trying to contain the disease. A ban would anger China, they worried, ending any hope of cooperatio­n with American medical teams.

Officials at the National Security Council and Department of Homeland Security argued that China had already proved unwilling to cooperate. A third group inside the White House was worried that the move would incite panic and could roil the financial markets.

By Jan. 30, the public health officials had come around. Azar, Redfield and Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, agreed that a ban on travel from the epidemic’s center could buy some time to put into place prevention and testing measures.

“There was so much we didn’t know about this virus,” Redfield said in an interview. “We were rapidly understand­ing it was much more transmissi­ble, that it had a great ability to go global.”

The debate moved that afternoon to the Oval Office, where Azar and others urged the president to approve the ban. “The situation has changed radically,” Azar told Trump.

Others in the room argued that a ban could have unforeseen consequenc­es. “This is unpreceden­ted,” warned Kellyanne Conway, the president’s counselor. Trump was skeptical, though he would later claim that everyone around him had been against the idea. The two countries were in delicate trade negotiatio­ns. Was this the time to provoke China? he asked. And what about the consequenc­es on the economy?

The president sided with his more aggressive aides and announced the ban next day.

Still, Trump was publicly upbeat about the effects of the virus. At a campaign rally in New Hampshire in early February, as the World Health Organizati­on was announcing new cases by the tens of thousands, he said of the coronaviru­s, “By April, you know, in theory, when it gets a little warmer, it miraculous­ly goes away.”

In fact, the fight against the virus was already beginning to stumble.

A system used to track travelers returning from China went offline just as state officials were told to begin monitoring them. Azar said at a congressio­nal hearing that he needed at least 300 million respirator masks for health care workers, but the national emergency stockpile held only 12 million, and many of those had expired.

And a CDC coronaviru­s test distribute­d to state labs had a flawed component that led to sometimes inconclusi­ve results, crippling the nation’s testing capacity for weeks, a problem the administra­tion is still struggling to solve.

A time of uncertaint­y

Trump’s motorcade pulled onto the main CDC campus in Atlanta just before 4:30 p.m. Friday, passing protesters holding signs that said “Have faith in science” and “We need a vaccine against Trump.”

Ten weeks after the virus first emerged in China, the total number of confirmed cases in the world surged past 100,000 and public health experts warned that the outbreak was far from over. The U.S., they said, faces weeks, if not months, of uncertaint­y and continued disruption­s in education, businesses, commerce, medicine, government and daily life.

Last week, Vice President Mike Pence was given control of the public messaging, and although Pence has had some mixed messages of his own — he promised more tests before they were available — the White House has since displayed more discipline. Pence holds twice daily conference calls with officials from across the country, and a virus task force he leads issues daily talking points, with comment from the health profession­als, to make sure the message is consistent.

But Trump still has his bullhorn. During his visit to the CDC, he told reporters that he was not inclined to let 21 people who tested positive for the virus on a cruise ship off the coast of California onto American soil.

“They would like to have the people come off,” he said. “I would like to have the people stay.” Trump said he would allow health experts to make the final decision, but he made clear where he stood.

His concern? It would increase the tally for the number of people infected in the United States. “Because I like the numbers being where they are,” the president said.

 ?? New York Times file photo ?? The total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the world has topped 100,000, and public health experts say it’s far from over.
New York Times file photo The total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the world has topped 100,000, and public health experts say it’s far from over.

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